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Singapore core inflation at 2.0% year-on-year in July, lower than expected

Created at 24 Aug · 5:06 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Singapore's core inflation rate rose 2.0% in July, below the 2.2% forecast. Headline inflation was 2.2%, also below expectations. The central bank had previously warned of elevated inflation through the first half of next year.

Key Numbers

2.0%Singapore core inflation in July
2.2%Singapore headline inflation in July
2.2%Reuters poll forecast for core inflation
2.3%Reuters poll forecast for headline inflation
4.5%-5.5%Singapore's raised growth forecast for the year
5.9%Singapore's Q2 GDP growth year-on-year

Who's Involved

Reuters
Polled economists on Singapore inflation forecasts
Monetary Authority of Singapore
Central bank that tightened policy and flagged inflation risks
Ministry of Trade and Industry
Raised Singapore's growth forecast
Singapore core inflation at 2.0% year-on-year in July, lower than expected

↳ Why This Matters

The lower-than-expected inflation figures may influence future monetary policy decisions by the Monetary Authority of Singapore, potentially impacting interest rates and economic growth.

Key facts

  • Singapore's core inflation rate was 2.0% year-on-year in July.
  • Headline inflation was 2.2% year-on-year in July.
  • Both figures were below Reuters poll forecasts.
  • The central bank tightened monetary policy in late July due to inflationary risks.
  • Singapore's growth forecast was raised to 4.5%-5.5% for the year.

Singapore's key consumer price gauge rose 2.0% in July from a year earlier, official data showed. The core inflation rate, which excludes private road transport and accommodation costs, was lower than the median forecast of 2.2% in a Reuters poll. Headline inflation was 2.2% in annual terms in July, also lower than the poll forecast of 2.3%. The central bank had previously flagged that inflation is expected to pick up from July and to stay elevated through the first half of next year. Earlier this month, the trade ministry raised its growth forecast to 4.5%-5.5% this year, up from 2.0%-4.0%, after second-quarter GDP expanded 5.9% from a year earlier. The central bank unexpectedly tightened monetary policy in late July, citing persistent inflationary risks amid elevated energy cost pressures caused by the Middle East conflict.

Frequently asked questions

Singapore's core inflation rate excludes private road transport and accommodation costs. In July, it was 2.0% year-on-year.

Singapore's headline inflation rate includes all items. In July, it was 2.2% year-on-year.

The central bank tightened policy in late July due to persistent inflationary risks, exacerbated by elevated energy costs from the Middle East conflict.

What Happens Next

01Monitor future inflation data releases.
02Observe the impact of the central bank's monetary policy tightening.
CME Headlines
  • Warsh's Jackson Hole debut lands 19 days before the Fed decision.
    21 Aug · 9:12 PM
  • Warsh's Jackson Hole debut lands 19 days before the Fed decision.
    21 Aug · 9:12 PM
  • Warsh's Jackson Hole debut lands 19 days before the Fed decision.
    21 Aug · 9:12 PM

How It Developed

Singapore's core inflation rate rose 2.0% year-on-year in July.
The core inflation rate was lower than the median forecast of 2.2% in a Reuters poll.
Headline inflation was 2.2% in annual terms in July, lower than the poll forecast of 2.3%.
The central bank had previously flagged that inflation is expected to pick up from July and to stay elevated through the first half of next year.
The trade ministry raised its growth forecast to 4.5%-5.5% this year.
Second-quarter GDP expanded 5.9% from a year earlier.
The central bank unexpectedly tightened monetary policy in late July, citing persistent inflationary risks amid elevated energy cost pressures caused by the Middle East conflict.

Sources

T1
Singapore core inflation at 2.0% year-on-year in July, lower than expectedReuters
T2
Singapore’s core inflation rises to 1.6% in June, driven by higher prices of food, retail goods and services - CNAchannelnewsasia.com
T2
Singapore core, headline inflation pick up in June but stay below economist estimates - The Business Timesbusinesstimes.com.sg
T2
Consumer Price DeveIopments in June 2026 | Ministry of Trade and Industrymti.gov.sg

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