Fed may prioritize inflation over jobs in Iran war oil shock
New Federal Reserve Bank of Boston research suggests an oil shock similar to the current Iran conflict would significantly increase inflation but have minimal impact on national employment. This contrasts with the 1970s, indicating a shift in economic vulnerability. The findings suggest central banks may focus more on inflation risks than employment risks from energy disruptions.
Developments (6)
- · Bloomberg | Markets via PiQSuite
Czech inflation slowed more than expected, weakening the case for an imminent interest rate hike.
- · Financial Post via PiQSuite
Article restates earlier reporting on Czech inflation slowdown and its impact on interest rate hike considerations.
- · Emerging Market Watch via PiQSuite
Czech CPI inflation fell to 2.1% in May, beating market expectations and matching the central bank's forecast, suggesting no June rate hike.
- · Bloomberg | Markets via PiQSuite
Morgan Stanley suggests the Fed would likely disregard Iran war effects if rate hikes are deemed necessary.
- · Financial Post via PiQSuite
Morgan Stanley's research head reiterated that the Fed would likely discount war effects on prices if rate hikes are deemed necessary.
- · Axios | Top Stories via PiQSuite
New Boston Fed research suggests the Iran war's oil shock would raise inflation but not employment, unlike in the 1970s.









