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Macro, Rates & FX news from the last 24 hours, AI-curated by PiQ Markets

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Europe's scorching summer erases economic growth, report says

A new report estimates that Europe's extreme summer heat will cost the EU economy €180 billion, equivalent to 1% of GDP, potentially wiping out all expected growth for 2026. France faces a contraction, while the Netherlands' growth is nearly eliminated.

Created at 10 Aug · 4:06 PM

Brazil central bank eyes Pix expansion amid US trade scrutiny

Brazil's central bank is exploring cross-border integration for its Pix instant payment system, a move that comes as the platform faces scrutiny from the U.S. government over alleged unfair practices, potentially impacting new tariffs on Brazilian goods.

Created at 10 Aug · 2:52 PM

Falling Australian house prices may reduce need for further RBA rate hikes

Falling Australian house prices are providing a silver lining by potentially reducing the likelihood of further interest rate hikes from the Reserve Bank of Australia. Governor Michele Bullock noted the housing market has eased more than anticipated, influencing the central bank's assessment of economic slowdown needed to combat inflation.

Created at 10 Aug · 3:16 PM

US Trade Deficit Narrowed in June Amid Falling Imports and Exports

The U.S. trade deficit in goods and services decreased to $73.3 billion in June, a 5.6% drop from May. This decline was driven by lower imports of computers and pharmaceuticals, alongside a slight decrease in petroleum exports, though services exports reached record highs partly due to tourism.

Created at 10 Aug · 4:06 PM

Wall St opens flat as markets weigh Middle East tensions and await inflation data

updated 10 Aug · 1:37 PM

U.S. stock indexes opened little changed Monday as investors monitored Middle East developments and braced for a week of crucial inflation data and corporate earnings. Futures for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq edged higher.

Created at 10 Aug · 1:36 PM
4 events
Developments (4)
  • 10 Aug · 11:35 AM · PiQSuite

    Futures for S&P 500 and Nasdaq edged higher as markets monitored the Strait of Hormuz situation and awaited inflation data.

  • 10 Aug · 12:25 PM · PiQSuite

    Global equities rose slightly, building on Wall Street's record high, as markets awaited US inflation data and news on the Strait of Hormuz.

  • 10 Aug · 1:05 PM · PiQSuite

    Wall Street indexes are poised for a subdued open, with investors monitoring Middle East developments and awaiting key economic data.

  • 10 Aug · 1:37 PM · Reuters

    Wall Street indexes opened little changed as investors monitored Middle East developments and awaited inflation data.

China vows to boost yuan's global use, keep exchange rate stable

China's central bank plans to increase the yuan's international use and maintain exchange rate stability during its 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-2030). The move aims to enhance financial security and global monetary framework resilience amid a perceived weakening of the dollar-centered system.

Created at 10 Aug · 10:44 AM

July Jobs Report Weakness Lowers, But Doesn't Eliminate, September Fed Rate Hike Odds

updated 10 Aug · 3:06 PM

The July jobs report showed a contraction of 23,000 payroll jobs, leading market participants to lower expectations for a September Federal Reserve rate hike to below 50%. Despite the weak figures, some economists believe the labor market remains stable and inflation concerns could still prompt further rate increases.

Created at 10 Aug · 10:06 AM
2 events
Developments (2)
  • 10 Aug · 10:05 AM · HousingWire

    Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami discusses jobs data and its potential impact on a September Fed rate hike.

  • 10 Aug · 3:05 PM · The New York Times

    The new article states Fed officials are primarily focused on inflation trajectory, not just the jobs report, suggesting a September rate hike is still possible.

Investors eye inflation data after weak jobs report

Following a dismal July jobs report, investors are closely watching this week's inflation data for clues on the Federal Reserve's next move. The Fed faces a balancing act between controlling inflation and supporting the labor market.

Created at 10 Aug · 10:00 AM

Western Europe sets new temperature record amid ongoing heat waves

Western Europe experienced its hottest June-July on record, with the combined average temperature reaching 21.62C, surpassing the 2022 record. The EU's climate monitor noted significantly lower soil moisture than during the last severe drought in 2022, highlighting the intensifying effects of climate change.

Created at 10 Aug · 8:31 AM

Crypto Week Ahead: CPI Data, Gemini Earnings, Token Unlocks in Focus

Crypto markets are poised for a pivotal week, with U.S. CPI inflation data and Gemini's earnings report among key events. Traders will be watching closely to see if easing inflation can prompt the Federal Reserve to pause interest rate hikes, potentially boosting digital asset markets.

Created at 10 Aug · 9:06 AM

US Treasury Secretary Bessent Backs Yen Intervention to Stabilize Markets

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is spearheading U.S. efforts to stabilize the Japanese yen, marking a significant currency intervention. This move aims to prevent higher U.S. borrowing costs and support an ally amid competition with China.

Created at 10 Aug · 7:06 AM

Euro zone investor morale turns positive in August, Sentix survey shows

Investor morale in the euro zone rose to 0.9 points in August from -3.1 in July, marking the fourth consecutive monthly increase and reaching its highest level since February 2026, according to a Sentix survey.

Created at 10 Aug · 8:36 AM

Asian stocks gain, oil up amid Gulf confusion

updated 10 Aug · 7:32 AM

Asian share markets followed Wall Street higher on a soft U.S. jobs report that eased rate hike fears. Oil prices saw a slight increase due to stalled Gulf peace talks and shipping lane concerns. The market's probability of a September Fed rate hike decreased significantly.

Created at 10 Aug · 7:32 AM
2 events
Developments (2)
  • 10 Aug · 3:10 AM · PiQSuite

    Asian stocks rose and oil prices increased due to a soft U.S. jobs report and ongoing Gulf peace talk uncertainty.

  • 10 Aug · 5:30 AM · PiQSuite

    Asian stocks rose, tracking Wall Street, as a weak U.S. jobs report eased rate hike fears. Oil prices increased slightly on stalled Gulf peace talks.

Indonesia nominates Destry Damayanti as central bank chief

Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto has nominated Bank Indonesia Senior Deputy Governor Destry Damayanti to replace Perry Warjiyo as the central bank's governor. Damayanti has been serving as acting governor since Warjiyo's resignation.

Created at 10 Aug · 8:31 AM

Dimon: US must maintain economic/military edge to keep dollar reserve status

JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon warned that the US dollar could lose its reserve currency status if the nation fails to maintain its economic and military dominance. He cited reliance on adversaries for critical goods and the nation's productive capacity as vulnerabilities.

Created at 10 Aug · 5:05 AM

US Funds Increase Yen Swap Activity at Tokyo CCP

Ten US investment firms, including Citadel and Millennium, now represent 25% of client-cleared yen interest rate swaps at Japan Securities Clearing Corporation. This influx began after US regulators allowed access to the Tokyo-based counterparty in September.

Created at 10 Aug · 3:36 AM

BOJ debated accelerating rate hikes in July, summary shows

updated 10 Aug · 8:56 AM

Bank of Japan policymakers discussed speeding up interest rate hikes in July due to inflation risks, according to a policy meeting summary. This has led to increased anticipation of a September rate move and a rise in Japanese government bond yields.

Created at 10 Aug · 12:51 AM
5 events
Developments (5)
  • 10 Aug · 12:51 AM · Reuters

    Bank of Japan members discussed accelerating interest rate hikes in July due to inflation risks, potentially impacting September policy.

  • 10 Aug · 3:00 AM · PiQSuite

    BOJ policymakers debated accelerating rate hikes in July, increasing the likelihood of a September move.

  • 10 Aug · 7:05 AM · Nikkei Asia

    Japanese bond yields rose as markets increasingly anticipate a faster pace of Bank of Japan rate hikes.

  • 10 Aug · 8:18 AM · Reuters

    BOJ faces political pressure to support the bond market, potentially offsetting rate hikes.

  • 10 Aug · 8:55 AM · Nikkei Asia

    Markets are pricing in faster Bank of Japan rate hikes after a policy meeting summary indicated a potential for accelerated increases.

Dollar hovers near two-month low ahead of US inflation data

updated 10 Aug · 7:11 AM

The U.S. dollar held near a two-month low as investors awaited inflation data for clues on the Federal Reserve's rate path. Soft U.S. jobs data has reduced expectations for a September rate hike, while the yen weakened significantly against the dollar.

Created at 10 Aug · 1:34 AM
2 events
Developments (2)
  • 10 Aug · 1:33 AM · Reuters

    The dollar neared a two-month low as investors await US inflation data to gauge the Federal Reserve's rate path.

  • 10 Aug · 7:11 AM · Reuters

    Markets face a busy week with potential U.S.-Japan yen intervention and Iran-Oman deal talks.

UK jobs market shows signs of stabilisation, REC/KPMG survey finds

Britain's labor market showed tentative signs of stabilization in July, with recruiters no longer shedding permanent staff, according to a survey. Starting salaries also saw a faster rise, a key metric for the Bank of England.

Created at 9 Aug · 11:20 PM

Bond Investors Anxious Over Fed's Inflation Stance Amidst Yield Curve Steepening

Bond investors are expressing increased concern over the Federal Reserve's commitment to controlling inflation, particularly following the Fed's decision to hold rates steady. This has led to a significant steepening of the yield curve, with long-term yields rising while short-term yields fall, signaling a lack of market confidence in the Fed's strategy.

Created at 9 Aug · 9:06 PM