Mexico grain output to fall as costs rise, imports to increase

Key facts

• Mexico's corn production is forecast to decline in marketing year 2026/2027.
• Higher input costs and low domestic prices are impacting corn planting decisions.
• Imports of corn, wheat, and rice are expected to increase.
• Sorghum imports are anticipated to decrease.
• The U.S. is projected to continue as Mexico's main supplier of grain and feed imports.

Mexico's grain production is expected to decline in the 2026/2027 marketing year, driven by rising input costs and low domestic prices that are discouraging farmers from planting corn. Consequently, imports of corn, wheat, and rice are projected to increase to meet the country's growing demand. Sorghum imports, however, are anticipated to decrease as domestic production is expected to rise. The United States is forecast to maintain its position as the principal supplier of grain and feed imports to Mexico.