All NewsEducationTVBrokers
Equities & FundsCrypto & Digital AssetsAI & TechnologyBusiness & CorporateUS Politics & PolicyGeopolitics & Global RiskMacro, Rates & FXCommodities & EnergyEuropean Politics & MarketsAsia-PacificReal Estate & Property
All NewsHome
← Back to Macro, Rates & FX

Yen Gains Sharply Against US Dollar

Created at 2 Sep · 2:19 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

The Japanese yen strengthened significantly against the U.S. dollar, recovering some of the ground lost after a joint intervention by the U.S. and Japan in late July. The exact catalyst for the recent move remains unclear.

Key Numbers

163.98yen to dollar low before intervention
155.21yen to dollar after intervention
1%yen gain on the day
158.56yen to dollar rate
40-yearlow for yen
July 31date of intervention
August 18date of yen weakening
160yen to dollar level in April 2024
1990year yen last traded near 160
40%yen below long-run average
$85 billionestimated USD sold by Japan

Who's Involved

Karen Brettell
Reuters reporter
Mark Porter
Editor
David Adams
Head of G10 FX Strategy at Morgan Stanley Research
Koichi Sugisaki
Head of Japan Macro Strategy at Morgan Stanley Research
U.S. and Japan authorities
conducted joint currency intervention
Bank of Japan
policy meeting
Japan's Ministry of Finance
sold dollars to buy yen
Morgan Stanley Research
provided analysis on yen dynamics
Yen Gains Sharply Against US Dollar

↳ Why This Matters

The yen's direction has significant global implications, as its weakness has funded carry trades and Japanese investors are major holders of U.S. Treasuries. Fluctuations in the yen can impact global bond yields, borrowing costs, and market volatility.

Key facts

  • The Japanese yen saw a sharp increase against the U.S. dollar.
  • The yen's recent gains partially reversed losses incurred after a joint U.S.-Japan currency intervention in late July.
  • The yen had previously hit a 40-year low of 163.98 per dollar before the intervention.
  • Following the intervention, the yen had strengthened to 155.21.
  • The yen was trading up 1% at 158.56 per dollar.

The Japanese yen experienced a sharp appreciation against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday, recovering some of the losses sustained after a rare joint intervention by the U.S. and Japan in late July. The specific trigger for this latest move was not immediately clear.

Prior to the intervention, the yen had fallen to a 40-year low of 163.98 against the dollar. Following the coordinated action by U.S. and Japanese authorities, the yen had strengthened to 155.21. As of Wednesday, the yen was up 1% for the day, trading at 158.56 per dollar.

Analysts at Morgan Stanley noted that while the intervention may have temporarily altered market sentiment, the fundamental drivers of the yen's weakness persist. These drivers include near-zero Japanese interest rates, which have made the yen the world's cheapest funding currency, and the need for lower U.S. interest rates or faster tightening by the Bank of Japan to achieve sustained yen strength.

The intervention, which involved Japan selling an estimated $85 billion of U.S. dollars to buy yen and the U.S. selling euros to buy yen, was seen as an effort to curb speculative yen positions and discourage rapid, potentially disorderly depreciation. The participation of the U.S. was also linked to concerns that higher Japanese interest rates could lead Japanese investors to sell U.S. Treasuries, potentially increasing U.S. borrowing costs.

Frequently asked questions

The exact reason for the sharp gain was not immediately clear, but it followed a period of yen weakness and a joint intervention by the U.S. and Japan.

The yen had reached a 40-year low of 163.98 against the dollar before the intervention.

Following the intervention, the yen strengthened to 155.21, and analysts suggest it aimed to curb speculative positions and discourage disorderly market moves.

Near-zero Japanese interest rates and the need for lower U.S. interest rates or faster tightening by the Bank of Japan are considered key drivers.

What Happens Next

01The Bank of Japan may normalize policy.
02U.S. interest rates may decrease.
03Authorities may intervene again if needed.
CME Headlines
  • Dec 10-Year T-Note futures hit contract lows as yields reach 4.80%.
    1 Sep · 9:15 PM
  • Dec 10-Year T-Note futures hit contract lows as yields reach 4.80%.
    1 Sep · 9:15 PM
  • Global yields hit multi-year highs.
    1 Sep · 3:25 PM

How It Developed

The Japanese yen gained sharply against the U.S. dollar.
The yen retraced approximately half of its increases made after a joint intervention by the U.S. and Japan at the end of July.
The yen reached a 40-year low of 163.98 before the intervention.
Following the intervention, the yen reached 155.21.
The yen was last up 1% on the day at 158.56 per dollar.

Sources

T1
Yen gains sharply against US dollarReuters
T2
Yen gains sharply against US dollar | MarketScreenermarketscreener.com
T2
Why the Yen's Next Move Depends on the Fed - Morgan Stanleymorganstanley.com

Related Stories

Dollar Rises as Middle East Hostilities Lift Oil, Fueling Inflation Fears
2 Sep · 12:08 AM
Global bond rout accelerates as yields hit multi-year highs
1 Sep · 9:09 PM
BOJ's Ueda to debate rate hike risks this month
2 Sep · 12:28 AM
Fed's Williams links rising bond yields to strong economy, not inflation fears
2 Sep · 1:59 PM
Bank of Japan chief says rate hikes on table at every meeting
2 Sep · 2:56 AM