Key facts
- Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva leads Flavio Bolsonaro by two percentage points in a simulated runoff ahead of Brazil's October election, a Datafolha poll showed.
- In the simulated runoff, Lula would receive 47% of the vote compared to Bolsonaro's 45%.
- A previous poll showed Lula leading Bolsonaro 46% to 44% in a runoff.
- In a first-round scenario, Lula had 39% and Bolsonaro 36% in a poll released September 17.
- The margin of error for the poll is two percentage points, indicating a technical tie in some scenarios.
SAO PAULO, Sept 24 (Reuters) - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has maintained a two-percentage-point lead over Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, his main challenger, in a potential runoff ahead of October's election, a Datafolha poll showed on Thursday. In a simulated runoff, Lula would receive 47% of the vote compared with 45% for Bolsonaro. A previous Datafolha poll last week had Lula leading Bolsonaro by 46% to 44%.
According to a Datafolha poll published on September 17, Lula had 46% support and Flavio Bolsonaro had 44% in a runoff scenario, unchanged from the previous poll released on September 11. With a margin of error of 2 percentage points, the result indicates a technical tie. In a first-round scenario, Lula had 39%, compared with 36% for Flavio Bolsonaro. Augusto Cury had 6%, Ronaldo Caiado 4%, Renan Santos 3% and Romeu Zema 2%. In the previous poll, Lula had 39% and Bolsonaro 35% in the first round. Datafolha surveyed 2,002 people between September 15-17 for the poll released on September 17. Datafolha surveyed 2,002 people between September 8-10 for the poll released on September 11.
