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UK consumer confidence hits two-year high

Created at 20 Aug · 11:06 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

British consumer morale surged to a two-year high in August, driven by increased confidence in making major purchases and improved personal financial outlooks, according to a GfK survey.

Key Numbers

-14GfK Consumer Confidence Index in August
-17GfK Consumer Confidence Index in July
-18Reuters poll economists' expectation for August
December 2021highest level for major purchase confidence since
two-yeareconomic expectations highest in

Who's Involved

GfK
survey provider showing consumer confidence jump
Neil Bellamy
consumer insights director at GfK
Andy Bruce
Reuters reporter
David Milliken
Reuters editor
UK consumer confidence hits two-year high

↳ Why This Matters

The significant jump in UK consumer confidence suggests a potential boost to consumer spending, which could support economic growth despite ongoing inflationary pressures and global uncertainties.

Key facts

  • British consumer morale rose to -14 in August, a two-year high.
  • This figure surpassed economists' expectations of -18.
  • Confidence in making major purchases reached its highest point since December 2021.
  • Personal financial confidence and economic expectations also improved.

British consumer morale surged to a two-year high in August, with the GfK's Consumer Confidence Index climbing to -14 from -17 in July. This figure surpassed economists' expectations of a fall to -18, adding to a recent trend of stronger-than-expected economic data for the UK.

The survey indicated a significant improvement in households' willingness to make major purchases, with the relevant sub-index reaching its highest level since December 2021. Confidence in personal finances over the next 12 months also hit its highest point since January, while economic expectations reached a two-year peak.

Despite the positive sentiment, Neil Bellamy, consumer insights director at GfK, cautioned that rising inflation and global uncertainties present ongoing challenges for consumers. Other recent surveys from YouGov/Cebr, BRC-Opinium, Barclays, and LSEG/Ipsos have also shown increases in consumer confidence over the past month. The GfK survey, which has been conducted since 1974, polled 2,000 adults between July 30 and August 12.

Frequently asked questions

The GfK Consumer Confidence Index is a survey that measures British consumer morale and their outlook on personal finances and the general economy. It has been conducted since 1974.

The increase was primarily driven by improved confidence in making major purchases, as well as higher expectations for personal finances and the overall economy over the next 12 months.

No, the index rose to -14, exceeding economists' expectations in a Reuters poll for a fall to -18.

What Happens Next

01Monitor future consumer confidence surveys for sustained improvement.
02Observe the impact of consumer sentiment on retail sales and economic growth data.
CME Headlines
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  • Euro futures test May highs ahead of Jackson Hole symposium.
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  • Treasury futures await Jackson Hole as 10-Year yields rebound.
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How It Developed

GfK's Consumer Confidence Index rose to -14 in August from -17 in July.
The index exceeded economists' expectations for a fall to -18.
Confidence in making major purchases reached its highest level since December 2021.
Personal financial confidence for the next 12 months and economic expectations also saw significant increases.

Sources

T1
UK consumer confidence jumps to two-year high, GfK saysReuters

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