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UK factory orders improve to highest level since November 2024

Created at 20 Aug · 10:09 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

A gauge of British factory orders rose to its highest level since November 2024 in August, according to a Confederation of British Industry survey. The improvement suggests resilience in the UK economy, boosted by stronger global demand and improving export orders.

Key Numbers

-25UK factory order books balance (August)
-45UK factory order books balance (July)
+22Expected selling prices balance (August)
+11Expected selling prices balance (July)

Who's Involved

Confederation of British Industry
Published survey on UK factory orders and economic outlook
Cameron Martin
CBI Senior Economist
Andy Bruce
Reuters reporter
David Milliken
Reuters editor
UK factory orders improve to highest level since November 2024

↳ Why This Matters

The improvement in UK factory orders suggests a potential stabilization or recovery in the manufacturing sector, offering a glimmer of economic resilience amidst broader global uncertainties and domestic cost pressures.

Key facts

  • UK factory orders balance improved to -25 in August from -45 in July.
  • The 20-point increase is the largest improvement in over five years.
  • Export orders turned positive for the first time since June 2022.
  • Selling price expectations among manufacturers increased to +22 in August.

A survey by the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) revealed that British factory orders reached their highest level since November 2024 in August, indicating a potential resilience in the UK economy. The monthly order books balance increased to -25 from -45 in July, marking the most significant improvement in over five years and one of the largest single-month jumps on record.

This uptick in orders was attributed to stronger global demand, which also led to export orders moving into positive territory for the first time since June 2022. However, CBI Senior Economist Cameron Martin cautioned that it is too early to determine if this trend is sustainable. Manufacturers continue to face cost pressures, as evidenced by a rise in selling price expectations to +22 in August from +11 in July, likely influenced by recent increases in crude oil prices.

The survey also indicated an improvement in expectations for future output, suggesting a more optimistic outlook among manufacturers despite the persistent challenges.

Frequently asked questions

The CBI's monthly order books balance is a survey gauge that measures the change in manufacturers' order books. A negative reading indicates a decline in orders, while a positive reading signifies an increase.

The improvement suggests stronger global demand is providing some relief to manufacturers, potentially indicating a stabilization or modest recovery in the sector.

Manufacturers continue to face ongoing cost pressures, and their expectations for selling prices have risen, likely due to factors such as rebounding crude oil prices.

What Happens Next

01Monitor future CBI surveys for sustained improvement in order books.
02Track crude oil prices for their impact on manufacturer costs and selling prices.
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How It Developed

UK factory orders gauge rose to -25 in August from -45 in July.
The 20-point jump in the order books balance is the sharpest improvement in over five years.
Export orders moved into positive territory for the first time since June 2022.
Manufacturers reported ongoing cost pressures, with selling price expectations rising.
Expected prices balance rose to +22 in August from +11 in July.

Sources

T1
UK factory orders show best performance since November 2024, CBI survey showsReuters

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