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Poll: Majority of Spaniards unhappy with government's Ceuta crisis handling

Created at 7 Sep · 9:54 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

A poll indicates that 89% of Spaniards blame Morocco for the mass migrant crossings into Ceuta, with a majority rating Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez's response as "bad" or "very bad." Support for the conservative People's Party and the far-right Vox party has increased.

Key Numbers

89%respondents blaming Morocco for crisis
75%blaming human-trafficking groups
74%blaming disinformation on social media
73%blaming migrants who crossed
72%blaming the Spanish government
14.2%rated Sanchez's handling positively
50.2%combined voting intentions for PP and Vox
36.1%centre-left bloc voting intentions
32.4%People's Party voting intention
17.8%Vox voting intention
27.6%Sanchez's Socialist Party voting intention
27%respondents naming Vox as most capable on immigration
18.4%Socialists named most capable on immigration
13.9%PP named most capable on immigration
70%chose tighter border controls
82%backed increasing fences and surveillance

Who's Involved

Morocco
blamed by 89% of Spaniards for migrant crisis
Pedro Sanchez
Prime Minister whose handling of crisis rated negatively
40dB poll
conducted survey for El Pais and SER
El Pais
newspaper that commissioned the poll
SER
radio station that commissioned the poll
People's Party
conservative party seeing increased voting intentions
Vox party
anti-immigration, far-right party seeing increased voting intentions
Socialist Party
Sanchez's party, showing dip in voting intentions

↳ Why This Matters

The poll results suggest a significant public backlash against the Spanish government's handling of the Ceuta migrant crisis, potentially impacting future election outcomes and influencing policy debates on immigration and border security.

Key facts

  • 89% of Spaniards hold Morocco responsible for the mass migrant crossings into Ceuta.
  • A majority of respondents rated Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez's handling of the crisis negatively.
  • Two-thirds of those surveyed felt Sanchez's response was too slow.
  • Combined voting intentions for the People's Party and Vox exceeded 50% for the first time in a poll.
  • Vox was named the most capable party on immigration by 27% of respondents.

A poll released on Monday indicates that a significant majority of Spaniards are dissatisfied with Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez's government's response to the mass migrant crossings into Ceuta in late July. The 40dB poll, conducted for El Pais newspaper and radio station SER, found that 89% of respondents believe Morocco bears the most responsibility for the crisis. Additionally, a majority of those surveyed rated Sanchez's handling of the situation as "bad" or "very bad," with two-thirds stating his response was too slow.

The poll also revealed a shift in political sentiment, with combined voting intentions for the conservative People's Party and the anti-immigration, far-right Vox party reaching 50.2%, marking the first time their potential right-wing alliance has breached the 50% mark in an opinion poll during this legislative period. In contrast, the centre-left bloc's voting intentions fell to 36.1%. Specifically, the People's Party saw a slight increase to 32.4%, while Vox rose to 17.8%. Sanchez's Socialist Party dipped to 27.6% from 28% in the previous poll.

Regarding immigration, 27% of respondents identified Vox as the most capable party, ahead of the Socialists (18.4%) and the People's Party (13.9%). The survey also highlighted public opinion on border security, with seven out of 10 respondents favoring tighter border controls over protecting vulnerable migrants, and 82% supporting increased fences and surveillance at Spain's borders.

Frequently asked questions

The Ceuta crisis refers to the mass migrant crossings into Ceuta, a Spanish enclave in North Africa, that occurred in late July.

The poll was conducted by 40dB for the Spanish newspaper El Pais and radio station SER.

Nearly 90% of respondents blamed Morocco, followed by human-trafficking groups, disinformation on social media, the migrants themselves, and the Spanish government.

The poll showed increased support for the conservative People's Party and the far-right Vox party, while support for Prime Minister Sanchez's Socialist Party dipped.

What Happens Next

01Further opinion polls will be released to track evolving public sentiment.
02The Spanish government may adjust its immigration and border control policies in response to public opinion.
03The performance of the People's Party and Vox in future elections will be closely watched.

How It Developed

A poll found 89% of Spaniards blame Morocco for the mass migrant crossings into Ceuta.
A majority of Spaniards rated Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez's handling of the crisis as "bad" or "very bad."
The poll recorded an increase in voting intentions for the conservative People's Party and the far-right Vox party.
Combined voting intentions for the People's Party and Vox reached 50.2%, surpassing 50% for the first time.
The Socialist Party's voting intention dipped to 27.6%.
% of respondents named Vox as the most capable party on immigration.
Seven out of 10 respondents favored tighter border controls over protecting vulnerable migrants.

Sources

T1
Majority of Spaniards unhappy with government's handling of Ceuta crisis, poll showsReuters

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