Key facts
- Le Pen's first-round range of 34% to 36% is down from 35% to 37% in a similar poll in October 2026.
- Melenchon, the France Unbowed candidate, reaches the run-off in all five scenarios tested, at 18% or 19%.
- The pollster's scenarios put Le Pen ahead of Melenchon by a wide margin in a second round.
- Melenchon has run for president three times, in 2012, 2017 and 2022, and never reached the second round.
- Le Pen lost second-round run-offs to Macron in 2017 and 2022.
Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Melenchon held their lead in voting intention for France's 2027 presidential election, a Toluna Harris Interactive poll published on November 9, 2026 showed. The survey was carried out between November 3 and 5.
Across the five scenarios the pollster tested, Le Pen would top the first round with between 34% and 36% of the vote. A similar poll in October 2026 had put her at between 35% and 37%.
Melenchon, the candidate of the far-left France Unbowed party, was seen reaching the run-off in all five scenarios, with either 18% or 19%. The pollster's scenarios put Le Pen beating him easily in a second round.