Key facts
- Denmark expects Russia to escalate hybrid warfare in the coming months.
- The Danish defense intelligence service stated Russia is conducting hybrid warfare against NATO and the West.
- Russia likely perceives itself as being in conflict with the West.
- Hybrid warfare involves political, economic, informational, and military tools to weaken states without triggering armed conflict.
- The threat from Russia in this area is highly likely to increase in the coming years.
- Denmark's Minister of Defence Troels Lund Poulsen stated Russia is trying to divide NATO members.
Denmark anticipates an intensification of Russian hybrid warfare tactics in the coming months, according to a new threat assessment from the Danish defense intelligence service (FE). The agency stated that Russia is currently engaged in a form of hybrid warfare against NATO and the West, employing a combination of political, economic, informational, and military tools designed to weaken adversaries without crossing the threshold of armed conflict.
The FE assesses that Russia likely views itself as being in conflict with the West and is taking measures that remain below the threshold for triggering NATO's collective defense guarantee under Article 5. The report highlights that the threat from Russia in this domain is highly likely to increase in the coming years.