Mortgage rate surge derails early 2026 housing rebound, brokers say
A surge in mortgage rates, influenced by the conflict in Iran, has derailed an anticipated early 2026 housing market rebound, with brokers now expecting a 10-12% decrease in home sales, amounting to an estimated loss of 400,000 sales nationwide. Concurrently, foreclosure auction activity rose 23% year-over-year in Q2 2026, reaching 66% of pre-pandemic levels, primarily due to FHA-insured mortgages and loans from the COVID-19 era. Despite these headwinds, U.S. home prices saw a 1.1% year-over-year increase in May, though they declined in real terms due to inflation at 4.2%. Single-family home prices specifically rose 0.3% in May and 2.2% year-over-year, supported by a shortage of available homes.