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Wall Street Banks Clash Over Fed Capital Rule Changes

Created at 27 Aug · 10:08 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Major U.S. banks, once united in seeking relaxed capital rules, are now divided over a specific Federal Reserve proposal. JPMorgan and Bank of America oppose a change that would benefit rivals Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, fearing it could reduce lending.

Key Numbers

$13 billionJPMorgan's estimated missed capital relief
$9 billionBofA's estimated missed capital relief
$1 billion to $2 billionGoldman and Morgan Stanley's estimated additional relief
37%Morgan Stanley's short-term wholesale funding liabilities
30%Goldman Sachs' short-term wholesale funding liabilities
24%BofA's short-term wholesale funding liabilities
21%JPMorgan's short-term wholesale funding liabilities

Who's Involved

JPMorgan
U.S. lender opposing a Fed capital rule tweak
Bank of America
U.S. lender opposing a Fed capital rule tweak
Goldman Sachs
U.S. lender supporting a Fed capital rule tweak
Morgan Stanley
U.S. lender supporting a Fed capital rule tweak
Federal Reserve
Central bank wrapping up overhaul of capital rules
Donald Trump
Republican President whose regulators are involved in the capital rule overhaul
Christopher Appel
Director of banking policy at Better Markets, former Fed official
Stevie Baron
JPMorgan's business banking chief
Michelle Bowman
Fed Vice Chair for Supervision

↳ Why This Matters

The outcome of this dispute will determine how much capital major U.S. banks must hold, directly impacting their lending capacity, trading activities, and ability to return capital to shareholders. It also highlights the complex interplay between regulatory goals and the specific interests of large financial institutions.

Key facts

  • Wall Street banks are now feuding over a proposed change to the Federal Reserve's capital surcharge for global systemically important U.S. banks (GSIBs).
  • The proposed change revises how short-term wholesale funding is treated, which could benefit banks more reliant on it, like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley.
  • JPMorgan and Bank of America estimate they would receive less capital relief under the proposal compared to their rivals.
  • JPMorgan and BofA argue the change could incentivize trading over lending, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley contend it enhances risk sensitivity.
  • The Federal Reserve is aiming to finalize reforms before potential increased oversight from Democrats in the House of Representatives.

Wall Street's largest banks, which had previously united to advocate for relaxed capital rules, are now in conflict as the Federal Reserve nears the finalization of its sweeping capital rule overhaul. The dispute centers on a proposed adjustment to the capital surcharge imposed on global systemically important U.S. banks (GSIBs).

The Federal Reserve's March proposal aimed to make the surcharge more risk-sensitive, particularly by revising how it treats short-term wholesale funding. This change, however, has created a rift between major lenders.

JPMorgan and Bank of America, which rely heavily on stable deposit funding, view the proposed tweak unfavorably. They estimate that this specific change would result in them receiving billions less in capital relief compared to what they would have otherwise received under the broader overhaul. JPMorgan projected missing out on $13 billion, while Bank of America anticipated missing $9 billion.

Conversely, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, which are more dependent on short-term wholesale funding, stand to benefit from the proposed revision. JPMorgan's analysis suggests these two banks could realize an additional $1 billion to $2 billion in capital relief. Advocacy group Better Markets has also concluded that Goldman and Morgan Stanley would benefit the most.

This divergence has led to intense lobbying efforts. JPMorgan and Bank of America executives are reportedly urging the Fed to discard the proposed funding tweak, arguing it could reduce lending to the real economy and potentially boost riskier trading activities. JPMorgan's business banking chief, Stevie Baron, stated in a blog post that the proposal would incentivize trading over lending to small businesses.

Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, on the other hand, are pushing for the swift finalization of the change, asserting that it would lead to a more transparent and economically grounded measure of risk. Public records show that executives from JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley have met with Fed officials multiple times since March to discuss the GSIB proposal.

The Federal Reserve developed the GSIB surcharge after the 2007-2009 financial crisis. The banks had long argued that the existing surcharge was too stringent and did not adequately measure risk. The current proposal seeks to simplify the measurement of short-term wholesale funding, moving from a ratio of risk-weighted assets to a direct measurement of absolute exposure. Data indicates that short-term wholesale funding constitutes a larger portion of liabilities for Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs compared to JPMorgan and Bank of America.

Frequently asked questions

The GSIB surcharge is an additional capital requirement imposed by the Federal Reserve on the largest U.S. banks deemed globally systemically important, designed to mitigate risks associated with their size and interconnectedness.

The proposed change to how short-term wholesale funding is treated affects the amount of capital relief each bank receives. Banks more reliant on this funding, like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, benefit from the proposed change, while those less reliant, like JPMorgan and Bank of America, see less benefit.

This refers to funding that banks obtain from sources other than traditional customer deposits, typically from other financial institutions or markets, and which is short in maturity. Examples include repo agreements and commercial paper.

What Happens Next

01The Federal Reserve is expected to finalize the capital rule reforms by year-end.
02Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman has indicated a desire to limit feedback and stick closely to the current draft.
CME Headlines
  • 10-Year Treasury yield climbs as markets weigh PCE data and rate expectations.
    26 Aug · 8:44 PM
  • 10-Year Treasury yield climbs as markets weigh PCE data and rate expectations.
    26 Aug · 8:44 PM
  • Euro FX futures slide as inflation data supports dollar.
    26 Aug · 7:59 PM

How It Developed

Wall Street banks allied for years to relax capital rules.
The Federal Reserve proposed changes to the global systemically important U.S. banks (GSIB) surcharge.
The proposed changes aim to make the surcharge more risk-sensitive, particularly regarding short-term wholesale funding.
JPMorgan and Bank of America believe the tweak would benefit rivals Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley.
JPMorgan estimated missing $13 billion in capital relief, BofA $9 billion, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley could gain $1-2 billion.
JPMorgan and BofA argue the change could crimp lending and boost trading activity.
Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley advocate for the change, stating it would improve risk sensitivity.
Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman has urged banks to limit feedback on the proposal.

Sources

T1
Wall St banks turn on each other as capital fight nears endgameReuters

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