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Markets steady as oil prices stabilize and bond yields ease

Created at 3 Sep · 10:40 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Global markets showed signs of calm as oil prices stabilized and bond yields retreated from multi-year highs. Attention is now turning to U.S. labor market data, with the ADP payrolls report slightly missing forecasts ahead of the main jobs report.

Key Numbers

1%yen pop on Wednesday
1%Broadcom shares down in extended trading
6%Broadcom shares gained this year

Who's Involved

Donald Trump
President indicating intention to limit duration of latest round of attacks
Mike Dolan
Author of the Reuters article
Broadcom
Chipmaker forecasting strong AI chip sales
Bank of Japan
Speculated to hike rates this month
Christopher Waller
Fed official participating in Reuters interview
Beth Hammack
Cleveland Fed official speaking
Austan Goolsbee
Chicago Fed official speaking
Markets steady as oil prices stabilize and bond yields ease

↳ Why This Matters

The stabilization in oil prices and easing bond yields provide a temporary respite for global markets. Upcoming U.S. labor data will be crucial for assessing the health of the world's largest economy and informing future central bank policy decisions. Broadcom's outlook highlights the ongoing demand for AI infrastructure, despite broader market concerns.

Key facts

  • Global markets stabilized with oil prices steadying and bond yields easing.
  • U.S. Treasury yields fell from recent highs, while European yields were pressured by high natural gas prices.
  • The Japanese yen strengthened on speculation of a Bank of Japan rate hike.
  • Broadcom's earnings met expectations, but its near-term outlook was weaker than anticipated.
  • U.S. private sector job growth in August, as measured by ADP, was slightly below forecasts.

Global markets experienced a period of calm as oil prices stabilized and bond yields retreated from recent highs. While no significant breakthroughs occurred in the U.S.-Iran standoff in the Gulf, President Donald Trump suggested a limited duration for recent attacks, with aides seeking to de-escalate tensions ahead of the U.S. midterm elections.

U.S. Treasury yields eased from multi-year highs, though European yields remained under pressure due to a sharp increase in natural gas prices reaching three-year highs before the winter season. Asian stock markets showed mixed performance, while Wall Street futures indicated a positive opening after U.S. indexes closed higher on Wednesday.

The Japanese yen saw a notable surge, with market participants suspecting intervention to support the currency. However, speculation about a potential Bank of Japan interest rate hike, possibly larger than usual, also contributed to the yen's strength.

Market attention is shifting towards upcoming U.S. labor market data. The ADP report on private sector payrolls for August came in slightly below expectations, preceding the broader jobs report scheduled for release.

In corporate news, Broadcom's latest earnings surpassed expectations, but its fourth-quarter outlook was somewhat disappointing. Despite this, the company forecast robust AI chip sales for the next two years, indicating continued demand for AI infrastructure. However, Broadcom shares fell in extended trading, underperforming rivals amid concerns about AI spending and increased competition.

Frequently asked questions

The yen's strengthening was attributed to speculation of intervention to support the currency and rising bets for a Bank of Japan rate hike this month.

Broadcom's earnings beat expectations, but its fourth-quarter outlook was slightly underwhelming, leading to a drop in its stock in extended trading.

Broadcom forecasts strong AI chip sales for the next two years, indicating continued demand for AI infrastructure.

What Happens Next

01U.S. weekly jobless claims report.
02July trade balance data release.
03ISM August non-manufacturing PMI report.
04Fed's Christopher Waller participates in a Reuters NEXT Newsmaker interview.
05Cleveland Fed's Beth Hammack and Chicago Fed's Austan Goolsbee speak at events.
CME Headlines
  • EBS Market on CME Globex Notice: August 31, 2026
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  • Can Treasury Buyback Reverse Bearish Sentiment in Bonds?
    3 Sep · 6:00 AM
  • Can Treasury Buyback Reverse Bearish Sentiment in Bonds?
    3 Sep · 6:00 AM

How It Developed

Oil prices steadied and bond markets cooled after recent volatility.
President Donald Trump indicated a limited duration for recent attacks.
U.S. Treasury yields eased from multi-year highs.
European bond yields remained elevated due to surging natural gas prices.
Asian shares were choppy, while Wall Street futures rose.
The Japanese yen saw a significant increase, potentially due to intervention or speculation of a Bank of Japan rate hike.
ADP's private sector payrolls for August came in slightly below forecast.
Broadcom's earnings beat expectations but its fourth-quarter outlook disappointed, though it forecast strong AI chip sales.

Sources

T1
Morning Bid: Labor daysReuters

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