Sabato’s Crystal Ball shifts Alaska Senate race to ‘leans Democrat’

Key facts

• Sabato’s Crystal Ball has reclassified the Alaska Senate race.
• The race is now rated as ‘leans Democrat.’
• This represents a shift from a previous ‘toss-up’ rating.
• The forecast favors Mary Peltola over incumbent Dan Sullivan.

Sabato’s Crystal Ball, a political forecasting model from the University of Virginia, has updated its rating for the Alaska Senate race, shifting it from a ‘toss-up’ to ‘leans Democrat.’ This change indicates a more favorable outlook for Democratic candidate Mary Peltola against incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan.

The updated analysis, released on Tuesday, also saw shifts in other Senate races. According to the Washington Examiner, the forecast moved the ratings for Senator Dan Sullivan (R-AK) and Senator Jon Husted’s (R-OH) from ‘leans Republican’ to ‘toss-up’ on Thursday. North Carolina’s open Senate seat, to fill the vacancy of retiring Senator Thom Tillis (R-NC), was moved from ‘toss-up’ to ‘leans Democratic.’