Key facts
- New Zealand's Green Party reached a record 16% support in a poll published September 28.
- The 1News Verian poll showed Labour and National parties at 28% each.
- The poll suggests a left-leaning coalition of Labour, Greens, Te Pati Maori, and the Opportunity Party could form a government with 65 seats.
- A coalition of National, ACT, and NZ First would have 59 seats.
- Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has indicated his National Party is unlikely to work with the Opportunity Party due to its tax policies.
New Zealand's Green Party has achieved its highest-ever recorded support at 16%, according to a poll published on September 28. The 1News Verian poll, which surveyed 1,004 voters between September 23 and 27, also showed the Labour and National parties each polling at 28%.
Labour's 28% support marks its lowest figure since February 2024, a two-point drop from August. National's 28% is its lowest since 2021. The poll indicated that a coalition of Labour, the Greens, Te Pati Maori, and the Opportunity Party could form a left-leaning government with 65 seats. This would be enough to outvote a center-right coalition of National, ACT, and NZ First, which is projected to secure 59 seats.
New Zealand's electoral system is designed to favor coalition governments, and the outcome of the general election on November 7 remains too close to call. Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has previously stated that his National Party is unlikely to collaborate with the Opportunity Party due to disagreements over tax policies.