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Lowe's Cuts Annual Sales Growth Forecast Amid Consumer Caution

Created at 19 Aug · 10:19 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Home-improvement retailer Lowe's lowered its annual comparable sales growth forecast to flat, citing consumer caution on expensive renovations and discretionary spending. The company's outlook fell below Wall Street estimates, contrasting with its rival Home Depot's maintained forecast.

Key Numbers

0% to 2%previous Lowe's comparable sales growth forecast
up to 2%Home Depot comparable sales growth forecast
USD 12.25 to USD 12.75Lowe's projected adjusted earnings per share
USD 12.95analyst expectations for Lowe's adjusted earnings per share
1.3%Lowe's fourth-quarter same-store sales growth
USD 1.98Lowe's adjusted profit per share in fourth quarter
USD 1.94analyst estimates for Lowe's fourth-quarter adjusted profit

Who's Involved

Lowe's
home-improvement retailer cutting annual sales forecast
Marvin Ellison
CEO of Lowe's, citing consumer caution on big-ticket upgrades
Home Depot
rival retailer maintaining its annual growth forecast
Bryan Hayes
stock strategist at Zacks Investment Research commenting on investor focus
Lowe's Cuts Annual Sales Growth Forecast Amid Consumer Caution

↳ Why This Matters

Lowe's reduced sales forecast signals a broader consumer pullback on significant home improvement projects, potentially impacting the retail sector and indicating ongoing economic caution despite a solid fourth quarter for the company.

Key facts

  • Lowe's revised its annual comparable sales growth forecast to flat, down from a previous expectation of 0% to 2% growth.
  • The company's projected full-year sales and profit fell below Wall Street estimates.
  • Lowe's CEO Marvin Ellison noted that households are pausing large upgrades like kitchen remodels.
  • Home Depot maintained its forecast for comparable-sales growth of up to 2%.

Home-improvement retailer Lowe's has cut its forecast for annual comparable sales growth, now expecting it to remain flat compared to a previous projection of 0% to 2% growth. This cautious outlook stems from consumers' hesitation on expensive renovation projects and discretionary spending.

Lowe's projected full-year sales and profit below Wall Street estimates, signaling that the company anticipates muted consumer spending. This contrasts with its larger rival, Home Depot, which maintained its annual forecast for comparable-sales growth of up to 2% and earnings per share increase of as much as 4%. Lowe's is more reliant on do-it-yourself (DIY) spending, which has faced persistent pressure as households defer big-ticket upgrades.

CEO Marvin Ellison stated that the company is focused on directing what is within its control, including productivity initiatives, to protect margins. Lowe's has been cutting jobs and streamlining operations. Economic and tariff uncertainty has also led to cautious updates from other retailers, such as TJX and Steven Madden.

Lowe's forecast adjusted earnings per share in the range of $12.25 to $12.75, below expectations of $12.95. In the fourth quarter, same-store sales at Lowe's rose 1.3%, beating expectations, and its adjusted profit of $1.98 per share surpassed estimates of $1.94.

Frequently asked questions

Lowe's cut its forecast due to consumer caution regarding expensive renovation projects and discretionary spending, alongside broader economic uncertainties.

Lowe's forecast for flat sales growth is more cautious than Home Depot's maintained forecast of up to 2% growth.

Lowe's projected adjusted earnings per share for the fiscal year is in the range of $12.25 to $12.75, below analyst expectations of $12.95.

What Happens Next

01Lowe's will continue productivity initiatives and operational streamlining.
02Analysts will monitor consumer spending trends and economic signals for further insights.
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How It Developed

Lowe's cut its forecast for annual comparable sales growth.
The company now expects fiscal year comparable sales to remain flat.
Lowe's projected full-year sales and profit below Wall Street estimates.
Lowe's CEO Marvin Ellison cited consumer pause on big-ticket upgrades due to economic uncertainty.
Home Depot maintained its annual forecast for comparable-sales growth of up to 2%.

Sources

T1
Lowe's cuts annual sales growth forecast as consumers curb high-cost renovationsReuters
T2
Lowe's Cos Yearly Sales: Lowe’s Issues Weak 2026 Outlook as DIY Home Renovations Slow, Shares Fall Despite Solid Quarter, ETBrandEquitybrandequity.economictimes.indiatimes.com

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