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J.M. Smucker forecasts smaller annual sales decline on steady coffee demand

Created at 26 Aug · 12:14 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

J.M. Smucker anticipates a smaller-than-expected annual sales decline, driven by consistent demand for its coffee and ready-to-eat meals. The company also raised its full-year profit forecast, citing tariff-related refunds.

Key Numbers

4%premarket share increase
1% to 2%forecasted annual net sales decline
3% to 4%prior annual net sales decline forecast
$10.50 to $11expected full-year adjusted earnings per share
$9.75 to $10.25prior full-year adjusted earnings per share expectation
$504.9 millionquarterly gross profit
$115.0 milliontariff refunds included in gross profit
$2.22 billionnet sales for the quarter ended July 31
$2.13 billionanalysts' average estimate for quarterly net sales
$3.24adjusted earnings per share excluding tariff refunds
$2.22first-quarter adjusted earnings per share estimates

Who's Involved

J.M. Smucker
Folgers coffee maker forecasting smaller-than-expected annual sales decline
Reuters
news agency reporting on J.M. Smucker's financial outlook
LSEG
data provider for analysts' average estimates
J.M. Smucker forecasts smaller annual sales decline on steady coffee demand

↳ Why This Matters

The company's improved outlook and better-than-expected quarterly results indicate resilience in consumer demand for its core products despite inflationary pressures, potentially signaling a positive trend for other consumer staples companies.

Key facts

  • J.M. Smucker now expects annual net sales to decline by 1% to 2%, an improvement from its previous forecast of a 3% to 4% decrease.
  • The company raised its full-year adjusted earnings per share forecast to a range of $10.50 to $11.
  • First-quarter net sales reached $2.22 billion, exceeding analysts' estimates.
  • First-quarter adjusted earnings per share, excluding tariff refunds, were $3.24, surpassing expectations of $2.22.

J.M. Smucker, the maker of Folgers coffee, has forecast a smaller-than-expected decline in annual sales, citing steady demand for its coffee and ready-to-eat meals. The company's shares rose approximately 4% in premarket trading following the announcement and an improved annual profit forecast, partly due to tariff-related refunds.

Consumers facing persistent inflation are increasingly choosing to eat at home, boosting demand for essential grocery items like coffee and jams. This trend, coupled with easing coffee prices after recent surges attributed to higher green coffee costs and tariffs, has allowed J.M. Smucker to adjust its pricing.

For the first quarter ended July 31, the company reported net sales of $2.22 billion, surpassing analysts' average estimate of $2.13 billion. Gross profit for the quarter reached $504.9 million, which included $115.0 million in tariff refunds. On an adjusted basis, excluding these refunds, earnings per share were $3.24, exceeding the estimated $2.22.

Looking ahead, J.M. Smucker now projects its annual net sales to decrease by 1% to 2%, an improvement from its prior forecast of a 3% to 4% decline. The company also raised its full-year adjusted earnings expectation to a range of $10.50 to $11 per share, up from its previous outlook of $9.75 to $10.25 per share.

Frequently asked questions

J.M. Smucker is primarily known for its coffee brands, such as Folgers, and other food products like Jif peanut butter and Smucker's jams.

The company raised its profit forecast partly due to tariff-related refunds received.

Net sales for the quarter ended July 31 were $2.22 billion, exceeding analysts' average estimate of $2.13 billion.

What Happens Next

01J.M. Smucker will continue to monitor consumer spending habits and commodity prices.
02The company will report its next quarterly earnings in the coming months.
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How It Developed

J.M. Smucker raised its annual profit forecast.
The company's quarterly gross profit increased to $504.9 million.
J.M. Smucker forecast annual net sales to decrease by 1% to 2%.
The company expects full-year adjusted earnings between $10.50 and $11 per share.
Net sales for the quarter ended July 31 were $2.22 billion.
Adjusted earnings per share for the first quarter were $3.24, excluding tariff refunds.

Sources

T1
J.M. Smucker forecasts smaller-than-expected annual sales decline on steady coffee demandReuters

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