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Walmart misses comparable sales estimates as consumer spending slows

Created at 20 Aug · 11:07 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Walmart reported a miss on U.S. comparable sales for the quarter, with growth of 2.6% falling short of the 3.8% estimate. Despite this, the retail giant slightly raised its annual sales and earnings targets, citing growth in its e-commerce division and advertising business.

Key Numbers

2.6%U.S. comparable sales growth
3.8%Estimated U.S. comparable sales growth
1.1%Average ticket growth
3.1%Second quarter 2026 average ticket growth
4%-5%Fiscal 2027 net sales growth target
3.5%-4.5%Previous fiscal 2027 net sales growth target
900-basis-pointImpact on health and wellness sales from Inflation Reduction Act
3.4%U.S. comparable sales growth excluding Inflation Reduction Act impact
7,000+Items with lowered prices this year
43%Walmart Connect advertising business growth
24%E-commerce sales growth
750 basis pointsBenefit to adjusted operating income from tariff refunds
1.5%
Average transactions growth
3%First quarter average transactions growth
$2.80-$2.87Expected annual adjusted earnings per share
$2.75-$2.85Previous annual adjusted earnings per share target
62-64 centsExpected third-quarter adjusted earnings per share
68 centsEstimated third-quarter adjusted earnings per share
3%-3.75%Expected third-quarter net sales growth
4.9%Estimated third-quarter net sales growth

Who's Involved

Walmart
Retailer reporting quarterly results
John Furner
CEO of Walmart, citing e-commerce growth
LSEG
Data provider for U.S. same-store sales estimates
Target
Retailer that raised annual forecasts

↳ Why This Matters

Walmart's sales performance provides a crucial indicator of consumer spending habits, particularly among price-sensitive shoppers. The miss suggests consumers are prioritizing essentials over discretionary items, a trend that could impact other retailers heading into the back-to-school and holiday seasons. However, the raised annual targets and strong e-commerce growth indicate resilience.

Key facts

  • Walmart's U.S. comparable sales rose 2.6%, missing estimates of 3.8%.
  • Average spending per transaction grew 1.1%, a slowdown from previous periods.
  • The company raised its annual sales growth forecast to 4%-5% and adjusted EPS to $2.80-$2.87.
  • Walmart's advertising and e-commerce divisions showed strong growth.
  • Third-quarter earnings per share are projected to be below analyst expectations.

Walmart reported a rare miss on U.S. comparable sales for its latest quarter, as consumers scaled back spending amid rising gas prices and economic uncertainty. The retail giant's U.S. same-store sales increased by 2.6%, falling short of the 3.8% expected by Wall Street analysts. Average spending per transaction grew 1.1%, a slowdown compared to previous periods.

Despite the sales miss, Walmart slightly raised its annual targets for the first time this year. CEO John Furner highlighted growth in the company's e-commerce division and its advertising business, Walmart Connect, which saw a 43% increase. E-commerce sales overall grew by 24%.

The company now expects fiscal 2027 net sales to grow between 4% and 5%, an increase from its previous target of 3.5% to 4.5%. Annual adjusted earnings per share are projected to be between $2.80 and $2.87, up from the prior range of $2.75 to $2.85.

However, Walmart anticipates third-quarter adjusted earnings per share to be between 62 cents and 64 cents, below the estimated 68 cents. Third-quarter net sales are projected to grow between 3% and 3.75%, also lower than the estimated 4.9% growth.

Comparable sales in Walmart's health and wellness category were down, impacted by the Inflation Reduction Act. Excluding this effect, core U.S. comparable sales grew 3.4%. The company has focused on lowering prices for over 7,000 items this year, supported by its advertising and third-party marketplace businesses.

Frequently asked questions

Walmart's U.S. comparable sales rose 2.6%, which was below the estimated 3.8% increase.

Yes, Walmart slightly raised its annual targets for net sales growth and adjusted earnings per share for the first time this year.

Walmart's e-commerce division saw a 24% increase in sales, and its advertising business, Walmart Connect, grew by 43%.

Walmart expects third-quarter adjusted earnings per share between 62 cents and 64 cents, and net sales to grow between 3% and 3.75%, both below analyst estimates.

What Happens Next

01Walmart will report third-quarter earnings per share between 62 cents and 64 cents.
02Walmart expects third-quarter net sales to grow between 3% and 3.75%.
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How It Developed

Walmart's U.S. comparable sales grew 2.6%, missing Wall Street's 3.8% estimate.
Average ticket spending grew 1.1%, below the 3.1% rise seen in the prior year's second quarter.
The company raised its fiscal 2027 net sales growth target to 4%-5% from 3.5%-4.5%.
Comparable sales in the health and wellness category declined due to the Inflation Reduction Act's impact.
Excluding the act's impact, U.S. comparable sales grew 3.4%.
Walmart's advertising business, Walmart Connect, grew 43%, and e-commerce sales increased 24%.
The company expects annual adjusted earnings per share between $2.80 and $2.87, up from $2.75 to $2.85.
Walmart anticipates third-quarter adjusted earnings per share between 62 cents and 64 cents, below estimates of 68 cents.

Sources

T1
Walmart reports rare comparable sales miss as consumers pare back spendingReuters

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