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Japan manufacturers' mood hits near 5-year high on semiconductor demand

Created at 8 Sep · 11:08 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Business confidence among big Japanese manufacturers rose in September to its highest level since December 2021, driven by strong demand for semiconductors and data-center-related products, according to a Reuters poll. The sentiment index for manufacturers climbed to plus-21 from plus-18 in August.

Key Numbers

plus-21September manufacturing sentiment index
plus-18August manufacturing sentiment index
December 2021Previous highest manufacturing sentiment
plus-39Electronics sector sub-index
plus-24Previous electronics sector sub-index
plus-29September non-manufacturing sentiment index
plus-27Three-month ahead manufacturing sentiment forecast
plus-27Three-month ahead non-manufacturing sentiment forecast

Who's Involved

Satoshi Sugiyama
Reuters reporter
Bank of Japan
Conducts quarterly Tankan business survey
224 firms
Responded to the Reuters poll
510 firms
Surveyed in the Reuters poll
Japan manufacturers' mood hits near 5-year high on semiconductor demand

↳ Why This Matters

The strong rebound in Japanese manufacturers' sentiment, particularly in the electronics sector, signals a positive outlook for key industries and suggests that AI-related capital spending is benefiting suppliers. This trend could indicate resilience in Japan's industrial output despite broader economic concerns.

Key facts

  • Japanese manufacturers' business confidence reached its highest point since December 2021 in September.
  • The Reuters Tankan sentiment index for manufacturers increased to plus-21 in September, up from plus-18 in August.
  • Strong demand for semiconductors and data-center-related products significantly boosted the electronics sector's sub-index.
  • Non-manufacturers' sentiment saw a slight increase to plus-29 from plus-28.
  • Manufacturers anticipate further sentiment improvement to plus-27 in the next three months.

Business confidence among major Japanese manufacturers reached its highest level since December 2021 in September, according to a Reuters poll. The Reuters Tankan sentiment index for manufacturers rose to plus-21 from plus-18 in August, driven primarily by robust demand for semiconductors and data-center-related products. The electronics sector, in particular, saw its sub-index surge to plus-39 from plus-24.

Sentiment among non-manufacturers also saw a slight increase, with the index edging up to plus-29 from plus-28. The poll, which serves as a leading indicator for the Bank of Japan's quarterly Tankan survey, received responses from 224 out of 510 firms surveyed between August 26 and September 4.

Looking ahead, manufacturers anticipate further sentiment strengthening to plus-27 in the next three months, with non-manufacturers expecting their index to hold steady at plus-27. Key downside risks identified by respondents include ongoing Middle East tensions, rising raw-material costs, and a potential slowdown in domestic consumption.

Frequently asked questions

The Reuters Tankan is a monthly sentiment survey of Japanese businesses that serves as a leading indicator for the Bank of Japan's quarterly Tankan business survey.

The improvement is overwhelmingly driven by strong demand in the electronics sector, particularly for semiconductors and data-center-related products, reflecting AI-related capital spending.

Respondents cited Middle East tensions, raw-material costs, and softer domestic consumption as key downside risks.

What Happens Next

01Manufacturers expect sentiment to strengthen further to plus-27 in the next three months.
02Non-manufacturers expect their index to hold steady at plus-27 in the next three months.

How It Developed

The Reuters Tankan sentiment index for Japanese manufacturers rose to plus-21 in September from plus-18 in August.
The index reached its highest level since December 2021.
Demand for semiconductors and data-center-related products was the primary driver of the manufacturing sector's improved sentiment.
Non-manufacturers' sentiment edged up to plus-29 from plus-28.
Manufacturers expect sentiment to strengthen further to plus-27 in the next three months.
Respondents identified Middle East tensions, raw-material costs, and softer domestic consumption as key downside risks.

Sources

T1
Japan manufacturers' mood hits near 5-year high on semiconductor demand: Reuters pollReuters

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