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Japan, India, Australia deepen Quad ties amid US policy uncertainty

Created at 9 Sep · 4:41 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Japan, India, and Australia are increasing cooperation to counter China's influence and hedge against potential U.S. shifts in the Indo-Pacific. The Quad grouping faces strain due to U.S. policy signals and internal divisions, impacting its cohesion and long-term durability.

Key Numbers

20th AnniversaryQuad Cooperation commemoration

Who's Involved

Japan, India, Australia
stepping up cooperation to hedge against U.S. retreat
Quad
informal strategic grouping aimed at countering China's influence
Donald Trump
U.S. President whose conduct has sharpened internal Quad divisions
Sanae Takaichi
Prime Minister of Japan
Anthony Albanese
Leader of Australia
Narendra Modi
Leader of India
Vikram Misri
India's foreign secretary
Marco Rubio
U.S. Secretary of State
Japan, India, Australia deepen Quad ties amid US policy uncertainty

↳ Why This Matters

The deepening cooperation among Japan, India, and Australia within the Quad framework highlights a strategic recalibration in the Indo-Pacific as these nations seek to maintain regional stability and counter China's influence amidst uncertainty regarding U.S. commitment.

Key facts

  • Japan, India, and Australia are enhancing cooperation to mitigate risks from potential U.S. withdrawal from the Indo-Pacific.
  • The Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (Quad) aims to counter China's expanding influence in the region.
  • The grouping faces internal divisions and uncertainty due to shifting U.S. policy signals and President Trump's rhetoric.
  • India views the Quad as a means to stabilize its strategic relationship with the U.S.
  • Japan supports accelerating Quad consultations amid China's growing assertiveness.

Japan, India, and Australia are increasing their cooperation as a hedge against potential U.S. policy shifts away from the Indo-Pacific, seeking to maintain the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue's (Quad) role in checking China's expanding influence.

The Quad, an informal strategic grouping of Australia, India, Japan, and the U.S., is designed to counter China's growing military power and influence in the Indo-Pacific region. However, the organization is reportedly under strain due to shifting U.S. policy signals and internal divisions, exacerbated by U.S. President Donald Trump's rhetoric towards the other member nations.

India, in particular, aims to leverage the Quad association to stabilize its bilateral relationship with the U.S. amidst ongoing geopolitical frictions. The last foreign minister-level Quad engagement occurred in Washington in July 2025, intended to restore continuity and momentum. A planned summit in Delhi attended by all four leaders, including President Trump, did not materialize, marking another setback for the grouping.

Japan has expressed continued interest in sustaining the Quad, backing efforts to accelerate consultations in light of China's increasing regional assertiveness. This comes as President Trump has reportedly urged Japan to increase its support for U.S. objectives, particularly concerning maritime security in the Strait of Hormuz, by providing protection to critical energy routes. Trump has characterized Japan as benefiting from U.S.-led security guarantees without assuming sufficient operational responsibility.

Further underscoring unease within the Quad, President Trump invoked the memory of the Pearl Harbor attack during an interaction with Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi. The Quad Foreign Ministers commemorated the 20th anniversary of their cooperation in December 2024, and a Foreign Ministers' Meeting was held in Delhi in May 2026.

Frequently asked questions

The Quad, or Quadrilateral Security Dialogue, is an informal strategic grouping of Australia, India, Japan, and the U.S. focused on countering China's growing military power and influence in the Indo-Pacific.

The Quad faces strain due to shifting U.S. policy signals, internal divisions, and rhetoric from U.S. President Donald Trump towards the other member nations.

India aims to use the Quad association to stabilize its bilateral relationship with the U.S. amidst enduring geopolitical frictions.

Japan broadly backs efforts to accelerate Quad consultations and sustain the grouping, reflecting its interest in countering China's regional assertiveness.

What Happens Next

01The U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio is expected to travel to Delhi in May.
02India is exploring the possibility of convening a meeting of Quad foreign ministers during Rubio's visit.

How It Developed

Japan, India, and Australia are increasing cooperation to hedge against potential U.S. retreat from the Indo-Pacific.
The Quad grouping, comprising Australia, India, Japan, and the U.S., aims to counter China's growing influence.
Leaders of the Quad nations face uncertainty due to shifting U.S. policy signals.
Internal divisions within the Quad have been sharpened by U.S. President Donald Trump's conduct.
India seeks to stabilize its relationship with the U.S. through the Quad amid geopolitical friction.
Japan has broadly backed efforts to accelerate Quad consultations due to China's regional assertiveness.
President Trump has urged Japan to increase support for U.S. objectives, particularly in maritime security.
President Trump invoked the memory of Pearl Harbor during an interaction with Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi.

Sources

T1
Japan, India and Australia hedge against a US Quad retreatNikkei Asia
T2
Quad Alliance Under Strain: India-US Ties, Trump & Indo-Pacific Securitydemocracyasia.com
T2
Quadrilateral Security Dialogue - Wikipediaen.wikipedia.org
T2
Japan-Australia-India-U.S. (Quad) meetings - Ministry of Foreign ...mofa.go.jp

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