Key facts
- European governments are increasing preparations for potential Russian hybrid attacks.
European governments are increasing preparations for potential Russian hybrid attacks, including drone strikes, sabotage, and cyber warfare. Officials in Poland, Lithuania, France, and Finland have issued warnings about intensified threats aimed at testing NATO resolve and pressuring support for Ukraine. Switzerland has also updated its security strategy to counter hybrid threats and long-range attacks.

The heightened warnings and increased defense preparations signal a growing concern among European nations about Russia's potential to destabilize the continent through unconventional means, potentially impacting critical infrastructure, energy supplies, and public confidence in security.
European nations are enhancing their defenses in response to escalating warnings from officials about an increasing Russian hybrid threat. Governments across the continent are preparing for potential Russian actions, including drone and missile attacks, sabotage, and cyber warfare, which are seen as attempts to test NATO's resolve and undermine support for Ukraine.
Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk stated on September 17 that intelligence assessments indicated a real risk of Russian projectiles entering the territory of NATO countries, potentially causing destruction and aiming to weaken the alliance's collective response. Lithuania's Foreign Minister Kestutis Budrys corroborated these concerns, noting that Lithuania had access to the same intelligence and that public warnings were intended to deter such provocations.
French President Emmanuel Macron also highlighted the intensified hybrid threat, ordering his government to develop enhanced protections for critical infrastructure and defense industry sites against drone and cyberattacks. Similarly, Finnish President Alexander Stubb urged citizens to be mentally prepared for possible sabotage and drone incidents while advocating for calm and discouraging overreaction.
Broader civil-defense preparations are underway, with Germany examining hospital capacity for war scenarios and Lithuania developing evacuation plans. Switzerland, though not a NATO member, adopted its Security Policy Strategy 2026, identifying Russia's war in Ukraine and hybrid threats as major challenges. The strategy aims to reduce vulnerabilities and bolster protection for civilians and critical infrastructure.
NATO itself has increased its focus on civilian resilience, publishing baseline requirements for member states to ensure essential services can function during crises. While NATO has not indicated an imminent Russian military attack on an alliance member, Secretary General Mark Rutte has noted Russia's increasing recklessness, citing airspace incursions and suspected malign activities targeting European infrastructure.