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Canada July trade surplus shrinks as exports fall, imports rise

Created at 3 Sep · 12:34 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Canada's trade surplus narrowed significantly in July to C$769 million, down from C$4.2 billion in June, as exports of energy and metal products declined while imports increased. This comes as the country faces new U.S. tariffs.

Key Numbers

C$769 millionCanada July trade surplus
C$4.2 billionCanada June trade surplus
C$3.57 billionEconomists' forecast for July surplus
2.3%July export drop
2.2%July import increase
4.4%July energy product export drop
8.5%July metal and non-metallic mineral product export drop
0.6%July exports excluding metals and energy
34.9%July aircraft and other transportation equipment exports surge
C$76.14 billionTotal Canadian exports in July
C$77.96 billionTotal Canadian exports in June
C$75.37 billionTotal Canadian imports in July
C$73.76 billionTotal Canadian imports in June
11.4%July import increase in motor vehicle and parts
6.6%July export drop to the U.S.
1.8%July import increase from the U.S.
C$5.9 billionCanada's trade surplus with the U.S. in July
66.35%U.S. share of Canada's total exports in July
69.39%U.S. share of Canada's total exports in June
72.64%U.S. share of Canada's total exports in July last year
59%Canada's import dependence on the U.S. in the last 12 months
62%Canada's import dependence on the U.S. in 2024
7.4%Exports to countries other than the U.S. in July
2.8%Imports from countries other than the U.S. in July
C$5.1 billionCanada's non-U.S. trade deficit in July
C$6.1 billionCanada's non-U.S. trade deficit in June

Who's Involved

Statistics Canada
Reported July trade figures
Reuters
Polled economists for trade surplus forecast

↳ Why This Matters

The shrinking trade surplus and declining exports, particularly to the U.S., signal potential headwinds for the Canadian economy as new tariffs loom, potentially impacting future trade balances and economic growth.

Key facts

  • Canada's trade surplus for July was C$769 million, down from C$4.2 billion in June.
  • Exports decreased by 2.3% in July, driven by lower energy and metal product shipments.
  • Imports increased by 2.2% in July, with motor vehicles and parts leading the rise.
  • The trade surplus with the United States decreased by more than 40% to C$5.9 billion.
  • Exports to non-U.S. countries rose 7.4%, while imports from these countries increased 2.8%.

Canada's trade surplus significantly diminished in July, falling to C$769 million from a four-year high of C$4.2 billion in June, according to data from Statistics Canada. This contraction was driven by a 2.3% decrease in exports, primarily in energy and metal products, while imports rose by 2.2%. The decline in exports was partially offset by a substantial 34.9% surge in aircraft and other transportation equipment.

The trade surplus with the United States, Canada's largest trading partner, shrank by over 40% to C$5.9 billion, as exports to the U.S. fell 6.6% and imports from the U.S. increased 1.8%. This comes just weeks before new U.S. tariffs are set to escalate trade tensions. Despite the July figures, Canada has maintained a trade surplus for five consecutive months, though the upcoming tariffs are expected to present a tougher challenge for exporters.

Exports to countries outside the U.S. saw a notable increase of 7.4%, while imports from these nations grew by 2.8%, resulting in a non-U.S. trade deficit of C$5.1 billion. The data also indicated a gradual decline in Canada's reliance on the U.S. market for exports, with the U.S. share falling to 66.35% in July from 69.39% in June.

Frequently asked questions

Canada's trade surplus in July was C$769 million, a significant decrease from C$4.2 billion in June.

The surplus narrowed due to a 2.3% drop in exports, led by energy and metal products, while imports rose by 2.2%.

Canada's trade surplus with the U.S. decreased by over 40% to C$5.9 billion as U.S.-bound exports fell and imports from the U.S. rose.

New U.S. tariffs are expected to present a tougher test for Canadian exporters in the coming months.

What Happens Next

01Monitor the impact of new U.S. tariffs on Canadian exports in the coming months.
02Observe future trade data releases for continued trends in export and import values.
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How It Developed

Canada's trade surplus in July was C$769 million, a sharp decrease from C$4.2 billion in June.
Exports fell by 2.3% in July, primarily due to declines in energy and metal products.
Imports rose by 2.2% in July, led by an increase in motor vehicles and parts.
Canada's trade surplus with the U.S. shrank by over 40% to C$5.9 billion.
Exports to countries other than the U.S. increased by 7.4%, while imports rose by 2.8%.

Sources

T1
Canada July trade surplus shrinks, weeks before new U.S. tariffsReuters

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