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Canada's Ivey PMI Surges to 16-Month High in August

Created at 4 Sep · 2:24 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Canada's economic activity expanded at a faster pace in August, with the seasonally adjusted Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) rising to 64.3, its highest level since May 2022. The index reflects increased prices, inventories, and employment.

Key Numbers

64.3August Ivey PMI (seasonally adjusted)
55.1July Ivey PMI (seasonally adjusted)
May 2022Last time PMI was higher
55.0August employment index
52.2July employment index
80.4August prices index
75.5July prices index
62.7August Ivey PMI (unadjusted)
54.1July Ivey PMI (unadjusted)

Who's Involved

Ivey Business School
prepares the Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)
Promit Mukherjee
Reuters reporter
Nick Zieminski
Reuters editor
Isabela Couto
Trading Economics reporter
Canada's Ivey PMI Surges to 16-Month High in August

↳ Why This Matters

The surge in Canada's Ivey PMI to a 16-month high suggests robust economic expansion in August, with rising prices and employment. This indicates potential inflationary pressures and a strong labor market, which could influence future Bank of Canada monetary policy decisions.

Key facts

  • Canada's Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) increased to 64.3 in August, up from 55.1 in July.
  • The August reading marks the highest level for the seasonally adjusted index since May 2022.
  • The employment gauge within the PMI rose to 55.0 in August, up from 52.2 in July.
  • The index measuring prices surged to 80.4 in August, an increase from 75.5 in the previous month.
  • The unadjusted PMI also saw an increase, moving to 62.7 from 54.1.

Canadian economic activity experienced a significant acceleration in August, as indicated by the Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data. The seasonally adjusted index climbed to 64.3, its highest point since May 2022, surpassing the 55.1 recorded in July. This expansion was driven by increases across several key economic indicators.

The employment component of the PMI rose to 55.0 from 52.2 in July, signaling job growth. Concurrently, the prices index saw a substantial jump to 80.4, up from 75.5, indicating heightened inflationary pressures. The unadjusted PMI also reflected this growth, increasing to 62.7 from 54.1.

The Ivey PMI, prepared by the Ivey Business School, measures month-to-month variations in economic activity across Canada based on a panel of purchasing managers. A reading above 50 signifies an increase in economic activity. The index has demonstrated predictive power for forecasting Canadian macroeconomic activity.

Frequently asked questions

The Ivey PMI is an economic index that measures the month-to-month variation in economic activity in Canada, based on data from purchasing managers across the country. A reading above 50 indicates an increase in activity.

A reading above 50 on the Ivey PMI indicates an increase in economic activity.

The seasonally adjusted Ivey PMI was 55.1 in July.

The prices index measures changes in the prices of goods and services purchased by businesses, indicating inflationary pressures.

What Happens Next

01Monitor future Ivey PMI releases for continued trends in Canadian economic activity.
02Observe Bank of Canada's response to inflationary pressures and employment data.
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How It Developed

Canada's Ivey PMI rose to 64.3 in August from 55.1 in July.
The employment index increased to 55.0 from 52.2.
The adjusted prices index rose to 80.4 from 75.5.
The unadjusted PMI increased to 62.7 from 54.1.

Sources

T1
Canada's Ivey PMI expands to more than four-year high in AugustReuters
T2
Ivey Purchasing Managers Index | Ivey Business Schooliveypmi.uwo.ca
T2
Canada Ivey PMI Surges to 16-Month Peak - TRADING ECONOMICStradingeconomics.com

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