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Brazil's inflation cools as prices post first monthly decline in a year

Created at 26 Aug · 1:16 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Brazil's annual inflation slowed more than expected in the 12 months through mid-August, with consumer prices posting their first monthly decline in a year. This easing price pressure reinforces signs that inflation is moderating in Latin America's largest economy.

Key Numbers

4.24%annual inflation rate through mid-August
4.52%annual inflation rate in previous month
0.40%monthly price decline
August 2025last month with negative price reading
3%central bank target inflation rate
1.5%central bank target inflation range tolerance
25 basis pointsrecent interest rate cut
14%current benchmark interest rate
1.41%monthly housing cost decrease
1%monthly transportation price drop
0.57%monthly food and beverage cost decrease

Who's Involved

IBGE
Brazil's statistics agency
Reuters
news agency polling economists
Itaipu hydroelectric dam
source of discount for electricity bills
Brazil's inflation cools as prices post first monthly decline in a year

↳ Why This Matters

The cooling inflation and monthly price decline in Brazil suggest that the central bank may continue its easing cycle, potentially boosting economic activity. This trend also provides a positive signal for other emerging markets facing inflationary pressures.

Key facts

  • Brazil's annual inflation slowed to 4.24% in the 12 months through mid-August.
  • Consumer prices fell 0.40% month-on-month, the first decline since August 2025.
  • Lower housing, transportation, and food prices contributed to the monthly decrease.
  • The central bank's benchmark interest rate was cut by 25 basis points to 14%.

Brazil's annual inflation slowed more than expected in the 12 months through mid-August, as consumer prices posted their first monthly decline in a year, reinforcing signs that price pressures are easing in Latin America's largest economy. The IPCA-15 consumer price index rose 4.24% in the 12 months through mid-August, according to statistics agency IBGE. This figure was down from 4.52% in the previous month and below the 4.34% median forecast in a Reuters poll of economists. On a monthly basis, prices fell 0.40%, the first negative reading since August 2025 and below the median forecast of a 0.30% decline. Annual inflation remains within the central bank's target range of 3%, plus or minus 1.5 percentage points. The central bank cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 14% this month, marking the fourth consecutive rate cut, and left the door open for further easing as inflation moderates and economic activity cools. The central bank's next policy meeting is scheduled for September 15-16. The monthly IPCA-15 drop was driven mainly by lower housing, transportation, and food prices. Housing costs fell 1.41%, led by lower electricity bills due to a one-off discount tied to the Itaipu hydroelectric dam's results. Transportation prices dropped 1%, reflecting cheaper air fares and fuel, while food and beverage costs fell 0.57%.

Frequently asked questions

Brazil's annual inflation rate through mid-August was 4.24%.

Consumer prices in Brazil fell by 0.40% in the month leading up to mid-August, marking the first monthly decline in a year.

Lower housing costs, particularly electricity bills due to a discount from the Itaipu hydroelectric dam, along with cheaper air fares, fuel, and food prices, contributed to the monthly price decrease.

Brazil's benchmark interest rate is currently 14%, following a 25 basis point cut.

What Happens Next

01Central bank's next policy meeting is set for September 15-16.
CME Headlines
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How It Developed

Brazil's annual inflation slowed to 4.24% in the 12 months through mid-August.
Consumer prices posted their first monthly decline in a year, falling 0.40%.
Housing, transportation, and food prices drove the monthly price decrease.
Inflation remains within the central bank's target range of 3% +/- 1.5 percentage points.
The central bank has enacted four consecutive rate cuts, bringing the benchmark interest rate to 14%.

Sources

T1
Brazil's inflation cools as prices post first monthly decline in a yearReuters

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