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Argentina economic activity grows 2.7% in June, above expectations

Created at 20 Aug · 7:16 PM2 sources↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Argentina's economic activity rose 2.7% in June year-on-year, surpassing analyst projections of 1.9% and marking a jump from May's 0.4% increase. Growth was driven by fishing, mining, and quarrying, though manufacturing and construction declined.

Key Numbers

2.7%economic activity growth in June
1.9%analyst growth projection for June
0.4%economic activity growth in May
27.3%monthly increase in fishing in June
1.3%growth in mining and quarrying in June
1.8%decline in manufacturing in June
1.2%decline in construction in June
6.2%year-over-year decline in gross investment for June
7.6%decline in gross investment for the first half of the year
0.1%cumulative growth for the first six months of the year
0.5%month-over-month variation in economic activity in June
2.0%projected growth for 2026
3.5%IMF growth projection for Argentina in 2026
2.0%year-over-year growth in industry in June
2.8%growth in construction in the first semester

Who's Involved

Argentina's national statistics agency
reported June economic activity data
Reuters
polled analysts for growth projections
Luis Caputo
Economy Minister who predicted strong economic performance
Orlando Ferres & Asociados (OJF)
research center estimating economic data
Eco Go
consulting firm estimating economic activity
Equilibra
consulting firm estimating economic activity
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
projected 3.5% growth for Argentina in 2026
Kristalina Georgieva
IMF head who addressed uneven economic growth
Argentina economic activity grows 2.7% in June, above expectations

↳ Why This Matters

The unexpected rise in economic activity suggests potential resilience in Argentina's economy, offering a glimmer of hope amidst ongoing challenges, though concerns remain about the sustainability and equitable distribution of this growth.

Key facts

  • Argentina's economic activity increased by 2.7% in June year-over-year.
  • This growth exceeded the 1.9% forecast by analysts.
  • The June figure represents a jump from the 0.4% rise seen in May.
  • Mining exports reached a new all-time high in the first four months of the year.
  • Manufacturing and construction sectors experienced declines in June.

Argentina's economic activity climbed 2.7% in June compared to the same month a year earlier, according to data from the national statistics agency. This figure surpassed the 1.9% growth anticipated by analysts polled by Reuters and represents a substantial jump from the 0.4% rise recorded in May. The growth was primarily driven by fishing, mining, and quarrying, with mining exports reaching a new all-time high in the first four months of the year. However, manufacturing and construction sectors experienced declines in June. Various research centers provided differing estimates for economic performance, with some projecting low cumulative growth for the first six months. Experts caution that prolonged stagnation could occur if investment and purchasing power do not rebound. IMF head Kristalina Georgieva has raised concerns about the uneven nature of Argentina's economic growth and ensuring it is broadly shared.

Frequently asked questions

Argentina's economic activity grew by 2.7% in June compared to the same month a year earlier.

No, the 2.7% growth exceeded the 1.9% projected by analysts polled by Reuters.

The June growth represents a significant increase from the 0.4% rise recorded in May.

The primary sectors, including energy, mining, and agriculture, showed resilience, with mining exports hitting a record high.

Manufacturing and construction sectors registered declines in June.

What Happens Next

01Sectors like manufacturing and commerce are expected to show gradual improvement.
02Domestic consumption is anticipated to reflect a sustained improvement.
03The IMF is monitoring Argentina's economic performance to ensure growth is broadly shared.
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How It Developed

Argentina's economic activity grew 2.7% in June year-on-year.
This growth exceeded the 1.9% forecast by analysts.
The June figure represents a jump from the 0.4% rise seen in May.
Fishing, mining, and quarrying drove the economic activity increase.
Manufacturing and construction sectors experienced declines in June.

Sources

T1
Argentina economic activity grows 2.7% in June, above expectationsReuters
T1
Argentina economic activity rises 2.7% in June, above expectationsPiQSuite
T2
Economic growth still lagging in first semester of 2026 - Buenos Aires Heraldbuenosairesherald.com
T2
Argentina's Economic Surge Surpasses Expectations in June | Businessdevdiscourse.com
T2
Actividades rezagadas: la industria y la construcción registraron un repunte en juniolagaceta.com.ar

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