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US consumer confidence falls to seven-month low in August

Created at 25 Aug · 2:44 PM2 sources↑ Market-relevant2 events
IN SHORT

US consumer confidence declined in August to its lowest level in seven months, driven by worsening outlooks on the labor market and inflation, with gas prices remaining a key concern.

Key Numbers

89.4August consumer confidence index
seven monthslowest level since
90.2July consumer confidence index
5.8%expected inflation over 12 months
$4per gallon gasoline price threshold

Who's Involved

The Conference Board
organization that released the consumer confidence survey
Donald Trump
President whose administration is blamed for inflation
Joe Biden
predecessor blamed by Trump for high prices
Dana Peterson
chief economist at The Conference Board
US consumer confidence falls to seven-month low in August

↳ Why This Matters

Declining consumer confidence can signal reduced consumer spending, a key driver of economic growth, potentially impacting corporate earnings and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions.

Key facts

  • US consumer confidence fell to 89.4 in August, the lowest since January.
  • The Conference Board reported the index dipped from 90.2 in July.
  • Consumers' short-term outlook on the economy soured, despite improved views of the present situation.
  • Concerns about oil and gas prices, war, and food prices were noted in survey responses.
  • Consumers expect inflation to rise to 5.8% over the next 12 months.

Americans' confidence in the economy declined again in August, reaching a seven-month low of 89.4, according to The Conference Board. This dip, down from a revised 90.2 in July, was attributed to worsening outlooks on the labor market and inflation, exacerbated by gasoline prices remaining above $4 per gallon due to ongoing geopolitical conflicts. While respondents' views on their present situation improved, their short-term expectations soured, with comments about prices, war, and jobs rising in survey write-ins. Consumers now expect inflation to reach 5.8% over the next 12 months, up from 5.6% in July. The labor market saw mixed signals, with more people reporting jobs as 'plentiful' but fewer expecting job growth in the coming months.

Frequently asked questions

The Conference Board's consumer confidence index is a survey that measures how optimistic or pessimistic consumers are about the state of the economy, including their views on business conditions, the labor market, and inflation.

The drop was mainly due to increased pessimism about business conditions and the labor market over the next six months, as well as expectations of accelerating inflation and high gas prices.

Consumers expect inflation to rise to 5.8% over the next 12 months, up from 5.6% in July.

What Happens Next

01Monitor future consumer confidence reports for sustained trends.
02Observe consumer spending data for potential impacts.
03Track gasoline prices and inflation expectations.
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How It Developed

US consumer confidence dropped to 89.4 in August, a seven-month low.
The Conference Board reported the decline, citing concerns over labor market and inflation outlooks.
Consumers' views of their present situation improved, but their short-term outlook soured.
References to oil and gas prices remained elevated in write-in responses.
Expectations for inflation over the next 12 months rose to 5.8%.

Sources

T1
US consumer confidence falls in August, Conference Board saysReuters
T1
US consumer confidence falls in August as gas prices remain above $4 per gallonThe Guardian

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