Key facts
- Graham Platner leads Susan Collins 49% to 47% in Maine's U.S. Senate race, within the poll's margin of error.
- The poll surveyed 608 likely voters between June 19-26.
- Voters cited the economy, congressional control, and candidate character as top issues.
- Both candidates have a 50% unfavorable rating, with Collins holding a slight favorability edge.
- Independent voters prefer Platner 51% to 45%.
The race for Maine's U.S. Senate seat is nearly even, with Democratic candidate Graham Platner holding a slight lead over Republican Senator Susan Collins, according to a New York Times/Portland Press Herald/Siena poll. Platner leads 49% to 47%, a margin within the poll's +/- 4.8 percentage point error.
The poll of 608 likely voters, conducted between June 19-26, indicates a tight contest approximately four months before the general election. Voters identified the economy, control of Congress, and candidate character and competence as their primary concerns.
Maine is a key state in the national effort for Democrats to gain control of the Senate, as Collins is the sole Republican senator in a state that voted for Democrats in the last presidential election. Despite discussions of Collins' unpopularity, the poll found both candidates were viewed unfavorably by 50% of respondents, though Collins had a slightly higher favorability rating at 48% compared to Platner's 45%.
Many voters appear to have already decided, with 80% stating they will definitely vote for their chosen candidate. Independent voters, who constitute nearly a third of Maine's electorate, show a preference for Platner, leading Collins 51% to 45%. Platner also holds an advantage among college-educated voters, while Collins leads among those without a college degree.
Supporters of Platner, a combat veteran and oyster farmer, are drawn to his progressive, economic populist platform. However, some Democrats express reservations about Platner's demeanor and plan to support Collins, citing her experience. Conversely, others support Platner, emphasizing his focus on wealth inequality.
Platner's controversial past, including a tattoo with Nazi overtones and unearthed Reddit posts, has alienated some voters. A majority of surveyed voters said his controversies have either called into question their support or made them disavow him entirely. Despite these issues and campaign shake-ups, Platner won the Democratic primary. Collins, meanwhile, faces concerns that she is "too old" and would support President Trump's policies too much if reelected.