Key facts
- Lula would receive 46% of voter support in a runoff, compared with 45% for Bolsonaro, a BTG Pactual/Nexus poll showed.
- A previous poll on September 14 had Lula leading Bolsonaro by 47% to 46%.
- In a first-round scenario, Lula would lead with 40% of the votes, followed by Bolsonaro at 37%.
- A prior first-round poll showed Lula with 42% and Bolsonaro with 37%.
- The BTG Pactual/Nexus poll surveyed 2,006 people from September 18 to 20 and has a margin of error of 2 percentage points.
Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro remain statistically tied in a simulated runoff ahead of next month's election, with the leftist incumbent holding a narrow lead within the survey's margin of error, a BTG Pactual/Nexus poll showed on Monday.
If there was a runoff, Lula would receive 46% of voter support, compared with 45% for the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, the poll said. A September 14 survey had Lula leading Bolsonaro by 47% to 46%.
In a first-round scenario, Lula would lead with 40% of the votes, followed by Bolsonaro (37%), Augusto Cury (6%), Ronaldo Caiado (5%) and Renan Santos (3%). The previous first-round survey had Lula at 42%, Bolsonaro at 37% and Cury at 6%.
If no candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes in the October 4 first round, the two frontrunners advance to a runoff on October 25. Nexus surveyed 2,006 people from September 18 to 20. The poll has a margin of error of 2 percentage points.