Key facts
- Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro are statistically tied in a simulated runoff election.
Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro are statistically tied in a simulated runoff election, according to an AtlasIntel poll. The latest survey shows Lula with a narrow lead within the margin of error, a shift from a previous poll where Bolsonaro held a slight advantage.

The close polling indicates a potentially tight presidential election in Brazil, with significant implications for the country's economic and political direction.
SAO PAULO, Sept 23 (Reuters) - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro remain statistically tied in a simulated runoff election ahead of the October 4 vote, according to an AtlasIntel poll released Wednesday. The latest survey shows Lula holding a narrow lead within the poll's margin of error, a slight shift from a previous poll where Bolsonaro had a marginal advantage.
In the simulated runoff, Lula would receive 47.7% of voter support, compared with 47.4% for Bolsonaro, the poll said. This follows a September 17 poll where Bolsonaro led Lula 47.2% to 46.8%.
In a first-round scenario, Lula would receive 45.8% of voter support, followed by Bolsonaro with 43.4%. A previous poll showed Lula at 44.1% and Bolsonaro at 41.7% in the first round.
AtlasIntel surveyed 5,015 people between September 17 and 22. The poll has a margin of error of 1 percentage point.
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