Key facts
- 59% of Latino registered voters prefer a Democratic-controlled Congress, compared to 35% who favor Republican control, according to an NBC News/Telemundo poll.
- The 24-point gap for Democrats is twice the party's lead from the September 2024 version of the poll.
- A CBS News/YouGov poll also found Democrats leading among Hispanic likely voters, with 60% backing a Democratic House candidate and 39% supporting a Republican.
- Trump's approval ratings among Latinos are 27% approve to 69% disapprove, according to the NBC/Telemundo poll.
- 78% of Latino voters disapprove of Trump's handling of the cost of living.
- About two-thirds of Latino voters said Trump's immigration enforcement efforts have gone too far.
Latino voters are showing a significant shift away from President Donald Trump and the Republican Party ahead of the November midterm elections, according to recent polls. A new NBC News/Telemundo poll released Sunday indicates that 59% of Latino registered voters prefer a Democratic-controlled Congress, compared to 35% who favor Republican control. This 24-point gap is double the lead Democrats held in the September 2024 version of the same poll.
A separate CBS News/YouGov poll released on the same day also found Democrats ahead among Hispanic likely voters, with 60% backing a Democratic House candidate and 39% supporting a Republican.
These findings challenge the gains the Republican Party made in 2024, when Trump saw an improvement in his vote share in majority-Hispanic counties. The NBC/Telemundo poll, which surveyed 800 registered Latino voters between September 21-28 with a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percentage points, also revealed that Trump's approval ratings among Latinos stand at 27% approve to 69% disapprove. A substantial 78% of Latino voters expressed disapproval of Trump's handling of the cost of living.
Inflation and the cost of living were identified as the top issue for 33% of respondents in the survey, and a top-two issue for 52%, making it the most important challenge for Americans surveyed. Additionally, about two-thirds of Latino voters believe Trump's immigration enforcement efforts have gone too far.
While Democrats have doubled their lead compared to the 2024 election cycle, the current 24-point advantage is still less than the 43% lead they held before the 2018 midterms.