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US Indexes Flat as Inflation Data, Nvidia Earnings Loom

Created at 26 Aug · 8:18 PM3 sources↑ Market-relevant3 events
IN SHORT

US stock indexes closed near flat on Wednesday following a hotter-than-expected inflation reading. Investors are now focused on Nvidia's upcoming earnings report, crucial for sustaining confidence in the AI boom.

Key Numbers

0.2%July PCE price index monthly increase
3.7%July PCE price index annual increase
3.3%Core PCE price index annual increase
$16.7 billionMeta Platforms settlement amount
$2.08Nvidia earnings per share forecast
$91.9 billionNvidia revenue forecast

Who's Involved

Nvidia
Chip giant awaiting Q2 2027 earnings report
Meta Platforms
Parent company of Facebook and Instagram, settled a case for $16.7 billion
Federal Reserve
Preferred inflation gauge (PCE) rose above expectations
Collin Martin
Head of fixed income research and strategy at Schwab Center for Financial Research

↳ Why This Matters

The PCE inflation data influences Federal Reserve policy decisions, while Nvidia's earnings are critical for maintaining investor confidence in the ongoing AI boom.

Key facts

  • US stock indexes closed largely flat on Wednesday.
  • The PCE price index rose 0.2% in July and 3.7% year-over-year.
  • Core PCE inflation held steady at 3.3% annually.
  • Investors are awaiting Nvidia's Q2 2027 earnings report.
  • Meta Platforms shares rose despite a $16.7 billion settlement for a social media addiction case.

Wall Street indexes closed largely flat on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 up 0.32%, the Nasdaq Composite up 0.66%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 0.30%. Investors reacted cautiously to a U.S. inflation reading that came in slightly above expectations, with the PCE price index rising 0.2% in July and 3.7% year-over-year. The core PCE, excluding food and energy, held steady at 3.3% annually, meeting expectations.

Markets showed a muted response to the inflation data, with odds of a September Fed rate hike falling to 38% from almost 40% a day earlier, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Odds of a hike by year-end stayed at 73%. The focus is now shifting to Nvidia's Q2 2027 earnings report, due after the market close, with concerns about the sustainability of the AI boom if the results are not stellar. Nvidia is expected to report quarterly earnings of $2.08 a share, and revenue of approximately $91.9 billion, a 97% year-over-year increase.

In other market movements, Meta Platforms rose about 1% despite settling a social media addiction case for $16.7 billion. Goldman Sachs was a significant drag on the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Oil prices declined amid reports of potential de-escalation between Iran and Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz. The 10-year Treasury note yield was around 4.65%.

Frequently asked questions

The PCE price index rose 0.2% in July and 3.7% over the past year. The core reading, excluding food and energy, held steady at 3.3% annually.

Nvidia is expected to report quarterly earnings of $2.08 a share on revenue of approximately $91.9 billion, representing a 97% year-over-year increase.

Odds of a September Fed rate hike fell to 38% from almost 40% a day earlier, while odds of a hike by year-end remained at 73%.

What Happens Next

01Nvidia to report Q2 2027 financial results after market close.
02Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh to speak at the Jackson Hole conference on Friday.
CME Headlines
  • E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures rise as markets await key tech earnings.
    26 Aug · 8:43 PM
  • E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures rise as markets await key tech earnings.
    26 Aug · 8:43 PM
  • E-mini S&P 500 futures fell to 7,675 on macro catalyst watch.
    24 Aug · 8:58 PM

How It Developed

US stock indexes closed near flat after hot inflation data.
Markets opened lower on Wednesday due to hot inflation data and anticipation of Nvidia's earnings.
Wall Street indexes were subdued as a hotter-than-expected inflation reading and anticipation of Nvidia's earnings kept investors cautious.

Sources

T1
Indexes end close to flat after hot inflation data ahead of Nvidia earningsPiQSuite
T1
Wall Street dips on hot inflation data ahead of Nvidia earningsPiQSuite
T1
Wall St awaits Nvidia's AI verdict after hot inflation dataPiQSuite
T2
Market Indexes Hold Flat as Wall Street Waits on Nvidia | The Motley Foolfool.com
T2
Markets Slip Early on Inflation Data Before Nvidia - Charles Schwabschwab.com

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