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Nvidia forecasts Q3 revenue above estimates on AI chip demand

Created at 26 Aug · 8:19 PM2 sources↑ Market-relevant2 events
IN SHORT

Nvidia projected third-quarter revenue exceeding Wall Street estimates, signaling continued strong demand for its AI chips from major technology companies. The forecast comes amid increased spending on AI infrastructure and growing in-house chip development by tech giants.

Key Numbers

$108.0 billionNvidia's Q3 revenue forecast
$104.19 billionAnalysts' average Q3 revenue estimate
$730 billionProjected Big Tech AI infrastructure spending this year
$1 trillionNvidia's AI chip revenue opportunity through 2027
$17 billionNvidia's deal with Groq
69-79 centsHP's Q4 adjusted EPS forecast
67 centsAnalysts' average Q4 EPS estimate for HP
8 centsQ4 EPS boost from tariff refunds for HP
$15.7 billionHP's Q3 revenue
12.5%HP's Q3 revenue growth year-over-year
83 centsHP's Q3 adjusted EPS
11 centsQ3 EPS boost from tariff refunds for HP
$3.19-$3.29HP's raised annual EPS forecast
$2.90-$3.10HP's prior annual EPS forecast

Who's Involved

Nvidia
Technology company forecasting strong quarterly revenue driven by AI chip demand
Microsoft
Major customer reinforcing expectations of increased AI infrastructure spending
Meta
Major customer reinforcing expectations of increased AI infrastructure spending
Groq
Inference-focused startup whose technology Nvidia licensed
Elon Musk
SpaceX CEO stating firm will exclusively use Nvidia hardware
HP
Computer and printer manufacturer forecasting strong Q4 profit
Bruce Broussard
HP's interim CEO
Donald Trump
U.S. President whose administration refunded tariffs
Nvidia forecasts Q3 revenue above estimates on AI chip demand

↳ Why This Matters

Nvidia's strong revenue forecast signals continued robust demand for AI infrastructure, highlighting the ongoing massive investment by tech giants in artificial intelligence. This trend is a key indicator for the broader technology sector and the AI market's growth trajectory.

Key facts

  • Nvidia forecasts third-quarter revenue of $108.0 billion, exceeding analysts' average estimate of $104.19 billion.
  • The company expects continued heavy spending on AI chips from major technology firms.
  • Big Tech companies are projected to spend over $730 billion on AI infrastructure this year.
  • Nvidia's revenue opportunity for AI chips is estimated to exceed $1 trillion through 2027.
  • Nvidia announced a $17 billion deal for technology from inference-focused startup Groq.

Nvidia forecast quarterly revenue above Wall Street estimates, indicating sustained high spending by major technology companies on its artificial intelligence chips, even as many develop their own.

The company expects third-quarter revenue to be $108.0 billion, plus or minus 2%, surpassing analysts' average estimate of $104.19 billion. Nvidia stated that its outlook does not include any sales of data center chips from China.

Nvidia's results are closely watched as a key indicator for the AI market, given its chips power most major data centers and advanced AI models globally. This forecast follows recent statements from companies like Microsoft and Meta, which indicated that Big Tech plans to invest over $730 billion in AI infrastructure this year, a significant increase from the previous year's $400 billion outlay.

However, a growing portion of this planned spending is directed towards in-house chip development aimed at reducing reliance on Nvidia's expensive and supply-constrained processors. Rivals such as Intel and AMD are also targeting the inference market, with Chinese firms like Baidu already producing their own chips for these tasks.

In response, Nvidia unveiled a new central processor and AI system in March, incorporating technology licensed from inference-focused startup Groq in a $17 billion deal. The company's market leadership was further underscored by SpaceX CEO Elon Musk's announcement that his company would exclusively use Nvidia's hardware.

Nvidia has projected that the revenue opportunity for its AI chips could surpass $1 trillion through 2027. Separately, HP Inc. projected fourth-quarter profit above estimates, driven by price increases on premium and AI-powered PCs and tariff refunds, which are expected to offset rising memory chip costs.

Frequently asked questions

Nvidia forecasts third-quarter revenue of $108.0 billion, plus or minus 2%, exceeding analysts' average estimate of $104.19 billion.

The forecast is driven by continued heavy spending from major technology companies on Nvidia's AI chips for their artificial intelligence ambitions.

Companies like Microsoft and Meta have reinforced expectations that Big Tech will spend more than $730 billion on AI infrastructure this year.

Nvidia has stated that the revenue opportunity for its AI chips could exceed $1 trillion through 2027.

HP forecasts fourth-quarter adjusted earnings per share between 69 cents and 79 cents, exceeding the analyst average estimate of 67 cents.

What Happens Next

01Nvidia will report its third-quarter earnings.
02HP will report its fourth-quarter earnings.
CME Headlines
  • E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures rise as markets await key tech earnings.
    26 Aug · 8:43 PM
  • E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures rise as markets await key tech earnings.
    26 Aug · 8:43 PM
  • E-mini S&P 500 futures fell to 7,675 on macro catalyst watch.
    24 Aug · 8:58 PM

How It Developed

HP forecasts strong Q4 profit above estimates, driven by price hikes and tariff refunds, despite chip costs.
Nvidia forecast third-quarter revenue of $108.0 billion, plus or minus 2%, compared with analysts' average estimate of $104.19 billion.
Nvidia expects Big Tech companies to spend more than $730 billion on AI infrastructure this year.
Nvidia's revenue opportunity for AI chips could exceed $1 trillion through 2027.
Nvidia unveiled a new central processor and AI system based on technology licensed from inference-focused startup Groq in a $17 billion deal.

Sources

T1
HP forecasts strong fourth-quarter profit on price hikes, US tariff refundsReuters

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