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Canada, US Firms Brace for Fallout as Trade War Escalates

Created at 24 Aug · 10:11 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Businesses in Canada and the United States are anticipating significant financial losses as escalating trade disputes lead to substantial tariffs on each other's products. Owners fear that the increased costs will decimate sales and potentially lead to business closures.

Key Numbers

50%tariff rate on products
75%US sales for CindyLouWho2
50%expected business loss for CindyLouWho2
September 8date for Canadian tariffs
$20bnvalue of Canadian exports affected by US tariffs
5%of Canada's annual shipments to US affected
70%of Canada's exports go to the US
20%US wholesale and e-commerce sales for Outclass
$59retail price of Paloma Clothing pillows
$86-$90potential new price for Paloma Clothing pillows
51 yearsPaloma Clothing has been operating
$2,400monthly storage cost for Terre Rouge Wines
20%decrease in Canadian customers at Northwest Yarns and Mercantile

Who's Involved

Cindy Baldassi
Owner of Calgary-based jewellery company CindyLouWho2
Donald Trump
US President who imposed tariffs
Mark Carney
Canadian Prime Minister who pledged retaliatory tariffs
Lind Furniture
Ontario-based furniture company fearing trade war impact
Michael Saifer
General manager of Lind Furniture
Matteo Sgaramella
Founder of Toronto-based menswear brand Outclass
Mike Roach
Co-owner of Paloma Clothing in Portland, Oregon
Kim Osgood
Co-owner of Paloma Clothing in Portland, Oregon
Bill Easton
Owner of Terre Rouge Wines in Plymouth, California
Heather Seevers
Owner of craft shop Northwest Yarns and Mercantile in Bellingham, Washington

↳ Why This Matters

The escalating trade war between the US and Canada, marked by significant reciprocal tariffs, threatens the viability of numerous small and medium-sized businesses on both sides of the border. This could lead to substantial revenue losses, price increases for consumers, and potentially widespread business closures, impacting cross-border commerce and economic relationships.

Key facts

  • US and Canadian trade talks collapsed, leading to reciprocal 50% tariffs.
  • US tariffs impact Canadian wine, dairy, cement, clothing, and hockey equipment.
  • Canada will impose tariffs on US steel, dairy, appliances, and electronics starting September 8.
  • The new US tariffs affect about $20 billion of Canadian exports.
  • Small businesses on both sides of the border fear significant financial losses and potential closures.

Businesses in Canada and the United States are facing significant uncertainty and potential financial hardship following the collapse of trade talks and the imposition of substantial tariffs by both nations. Cindy Baldassi, owner of Calgary-based jewellery company CindyLouWho2, anticipates losing at least half of her business as US sales, which constitute 75% of her revenue, are likely to be wiped out by a 50% tariff.

US President Donald Trump's tariffs, which went into effect on Saturday, target Canadian wine, dairy, cement, clothing, and hockey equipment. In response, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has pledged retaliatory levies, set to begin on September 8, on US steel, dairy, appliances, and electronics. These measures come on top of existing tariffs on Canadian steel, aluminum, automobiles, and lumber.

Canadian companies are particularly exposed, with 70% of their exports going to the US. Lind Furniture, an Ontario-based company, experienced sales freezes when tariffs were previously threatened. Its general manager, Michael Saifer, expressed concern about the potential for severe damage, stating, "we may get killed."

Matteo Sgaramella, founder of Toronto-based menswear brand Outclass, highlighted the challenge of dealing with pre-paid orders. Retailers who ordered products in January now face the prospect of additional 50% tariffs upon arrival in September, potentially leading them to refuse shipments. Sgaramella noted that while larger businesses might adapt, small businesses are particularly vulnerable.

On the US side, businesses like Paloma Clothing in Portland, Oregon, are preparing for price increases on imported goods. Co-owners Mike Roach and Kim Osgood expect the retail price of their best-selling pillows to rise from $59 to between $86 and $90 due to tariffs, a significant jump for price-sensitive gift items. They plan to absorb the cost initially, hoping the issue resolves quickly.

Bill Easton, owner of Terre Rouge Wines in California, has been unable to ship wine to Canada for over a year due to a boycott and is incurring significant storage costs. Heather Seevers, owner of Northwest Yarns and Mercantile in Bellingham, Washington, has seen a 20% drop in Canadian customers and recently launched a fundraising initiative to stay afloat. She believes the new tariffs will deepen the rift between the two countries, taking years to repair.

Frequently asked questions

The trade talks between the US and Canada collapsed over the weekend, leading both countries to impose significant tariffs on each other's products.

US tariffs target Canadian wine, dairy, cement, clothing, and hockey equipment.

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has pledged retaliatory levies starting on September 8, targeting US steel, dairy, appliances, and electronics.

Small businesses fear that the 50% tariffs will significantly reduce sales, forcing them to either increase prices substantially or absorb the costs, potentially leading to closures.

What Happens Next

01Canadian retaliatory tariffs on US products are set to begin on September 8.
02Details of Canada's countermeasures will be released in the coming days.

How It Developed

Trade talks between the US and Canada collapsed over the weekend.
Both countries pledged to impose 50% tariffs on each other's products.
US President Donald Trump's tariffs went into effect on Saturday, impacting Canadian wine, dairy, cement, clothing, and hockey equipment.
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney pledged retaliatory levies starting September 8 on US steel, dairy, appliances, and electronics.
US tariffs apply to approximately $20 billion worth of Canadian exports, about 5% of Canada's annual shipments to the US.
These levies add to existing US tariffs on Canadian steel, aluminum, automobiles, and lumber.
Canadian businesses, particularly those reliant on US sales, fear significant revenue loss and potential closures.
US businesses, like Paloma Clothing, are preparing for price increases on imported goods, potentially impacting sales of gift items.

Sources

T1
'Half my business will be gone': Firms in Canada and US fear trade warBBC News

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