Key facts
- A 4chan post from December 12, 2023, predicted Bitcoin's market top would be October 6, 2025.
- Bitcoin reached an all-time high of $126,198.07 on October 6, 2025.
- The 4chan prediction suggested the cycle bottom would be October 5, 2026.
- Bitcoin was trading around $86,100 on October 5, 2026, approximately 30% below its peak.
- Bitcoin fell to roughly $57,000 around mid-year.
- Analyst Benjamin Cowen sees a possible fourth-quarter floor near $44,000.
A prediction originating from the online forum 4chan has gained attention for accurately forecasting Bitcoin's recent market top and suggesting that today, October 5, 2026, marks the cycle's bottom. The prophecy, posted on December 12, 2023, by user SBC7H7La, claimed Bitcoin's next market top would occur on October 6, 2025. This prediction was fulfilled when Bitcoin reached an all-time high of $126,198.07 on that exact date.
The logic behind the prediction was based on a pattern of previous market cycles. According to the 4chan post, market highs to lows took 364 days, a pattern that had allegedly repeated twice. By adding 364 days to the October 6, 2025, market top, the prophecy points to October 5, 2026, as the next cycle bottom.
As of this morning, Bitcoin is trading around $86,100, approximately 30% below its peak. This level is also about 50% above the mid-year low of around $57,000. However, analyst Benjamin Cowen suggests a potential floor near $44,000 in the fourth quarter. The recent US jobs report, which showed significantly fewer jobs added than expected, has led to speculation that the Federal Reserve may hold interest rates steady, a scenario generally viewed favorably by investors in risk assets like Bitcoin.