Putin leverages two wars to gain US concessions, analyst says

Russian President Vladimir Putin is exploiting President Donald Trump's desire to end the wars in Ukraine and between the U.S. and Iran to his advantage, according to analysts. Moscow is reportedly sharing military intelligence with Tehran while simultaneously presenting itself as a partner in resolving the conflict in Ukraine. This strategy aims to achieve Russia's goal of normalizing relations with the U.S. without offering substantial concessions on Ukraine.

Since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, both Russia and Iran have strengthened their bilateral ties. In January 2025, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian visited the Kremlin to sign a long-anticipated partnership deal. Russia has benefited from Iranian drone technology, utilizing Shahed-type drones in attacks on Ukrainian cities. However, analysts note that this relationship is a partnership driven by shared interests rather than a formal alliance, with Russia unlikely to prioritize Tehran over potential rapprochement with Washington.

Iran also views the relationship as mutually beneficial, using its ties with Russia to maintain an international presence. However, there is underlying mistrust, with discussions about whether Russia might betray Iranian interests. Russia's leverage over Iran is limited, and its primary value in the relationship may lie in its ability to offer concessions to Washington, using Iran as a bargaining chip.