Key facts
- Labour rose 2 points to 30.7% and National fell 1.2 points to 26.4% in the Post-Freshwater Strategy poll.
- The Opportunity Party polled 5.1%, just above the 5% threshold for parliament representation.
- On The Post's seat projections, National, ACT and New Zealand First would hold 59 seats, two short of 61.
- Labour, the Greens and Te Pati Maori would hold 55 seats, per The Post's projections.
- New Zealand First was at 12%, ACT at 9.8% and Te Pati Maori at 2% in the poll.
- The Electoral Commission said 1.44 million people had voted as of the end of Wednesday.
New Zealand's opposition Labour Party gained 2 percentage points to 30.7% in the final Post-Freshwater Strategy poll before Saturday's general election, while the governing National Party fell 1.2 points to 26.4%, according to the poll released on November 6, 2026. The survey, conducted with Infrastructure New Zealand, leaves no clear outcome for the election.
The Opportunity Party polled 5.1%, just above the 5% threshold for representation in parliament. New Zealand First was at 12%, ACT at 9.8% and Te Pati Maori at 2%. On seat projections reported by The Post, National, ACT and New Zealand First would hold 59 seats in a 120-seat parliament, two short of the 61 needed to govern, while Labour, the Greens and Te Pati Maori would have 55.
Advance voting has been underway since October 26. New Zealand Electoral Commission data showed 1.44 million people had voted as of the end of Wednesday. Voting closes at 7 p.m. (0600 GMT) on Saturday, with results expected to start coming in soon after.