Key facts
- Democrats hold a 10-point lead over Republicans on the generic congressional ballot, according to an Emerson National Polling survey.
- The poll found 50 percent support for Democrats and 40 percent for Republicans among 1,000 likely voters.
- Support for Democrats has increased among Hispanic voters, women, and independents.
- President Donald Trump's approval rating in the poll was 40 percent, with 56 percent disapproval.
- The Democratic lead has widened significantly since December.
Democrats currently hold a significant 10-point advantage over Republicans on the generic congressional ballot, according to a new Emerson National Polling survey. The poll of 1,000 likely voters found 50 percent support for Democrats compared to 40 percent for Republicans, with 10 percent undecided. This marks a widening of the Democratic lead since December, when it was only 2 points.
According to Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, the Democratic strength is driven by increased support among Hispanic voters, women, and independents. The poll indicated that Hispanics favor Democrats by a 35-point margin, women by 21 points, and independents by 19 points. President Donald Trump's approval rating in the survey was 40 percent, with 56 percent disapproval, a decline from previous periods.
Despite Republicans currently controlling the White House, Senate, and House, Democrats are expressing optimism about their chances in the upcoming November midterm elections. This optimism is fueled by their recent overperformance in special elections and Trump's declining approval ratings. A DCCC spokesperson stated that Democrats are "on offense" and have the momentum to reclaim the House.