Key facts
- The Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.5% to 3.75%.
The Federal Reserve paused its benchmark interest rate for the fourth consecutive meeting, holding it at 3.5% to 3.75%. Analysts anticipate mortgage rates will follow inflation expectations and Treasury yields rather than the policy rate, as CPI stands at 4.2% and May payrolls increased by 172,000.

The Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady for a fourth consecutive meeting indicates a cautious approach to managing inflation while acknowledging solid economic growth. This pause may influence borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, with analysts predicting mortgage rates will be more sensitive to inflation expectations and Treasury yields.
The Federal Reserve has maintained its benchmark interest rate at a target range of 3.5% to 3.75% for the fourth consecutive meeting, signaling a pause in its monetary tightening cycle. The decision was unanimous among FOMC members.
The committee acknowledged that economic activity is expanding at a solid pace, supported by strong productivity growth and capital investment. Job gains have kept pace with the workforce, and the unemployment rate has remained stable. However, inflation continues to be a concern, remaining elevated relative to the Fed's 2 percent target, partly due to supply shocks affecting sectors such as energy.
Analysts suggest that mortgage rates are likely to track inflation expectations and Treasury yields more closely than the Fed's policy rate, especially given the current CPI of 4.2% and a May payroll increase of 172,000.