Key facts
- The USDA projects the 2026/27 winter wheat crop at 1.030 billion bushels.
- This projection marks the smallest U.S. wheat harvest since 1965.
- Severe drought conditions are impacting key wheat-growing regions.
- The forecast indicates a substantial reduction in the nation's wheat supply.
The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has issued a projection for the 2026/27 winter wheat crop, forecasting a total of 1.030 billion bushels. This figure represents the smallest U.S. wheat harvest recorded since 1965. The primary factor contributing to this historic low is the prevalence of severe drought conditions. These arid conditions are significantly impacting key wheat-growing regions throughout the United States, limiting the potential for a larger yield. The USDA's forecast highlights a substantial anticipated reduction in the nation's wheat supply for the upcoming agricultural season, with potential implications for both domestic consumption and export markets.