Key facts
- President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva leads Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in Brazil's presidential election race.
- A Quaest poll shows Lula with 45% of voting intentions in a potential second-round runoff, against Bolsonaro's 37%.
- An AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll indicates Lula would secure 48.8% of votes in a runoff, compared to 42.3% for Bolsonaro.
- In a first-round scenario, Lula leads Bolsonaro 46.3% to 36.6% according to the AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll.
Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has widened his lead over Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in the run-up to the October presidential election, according to recent polls. A Quaest poll commissioned by Genial showed Lula with 45% of voting intentions in a potential second-round runoff, compared to 37% for Bolsonaro.
This survey follows recent political developments, including a corruption investigation into a senior Lula ally and debates over accountability for new U.S. tariff threats against Brazil. The Quaest poll is the first survey conducted after these events.
An earlier AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll indicated that Lula would win a potential second-round runoff vote with 48.8% of votes, against Flavio Bolsonaro's 42.3%. In that same poll, Lula led in a first-round scenario with 46.3% of the votes, followed by Flavio Bolsonaro with 36.6%. The AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll surveyed 4,999 people between June 26 and 30, with a margin of error of one percentage point.