Three Things to Watch on Fed Day

Fed day, and the chair has the harder job. Markets are pricing better than a 90 percent chance of a quarter point hike with the 10 year already at 5.04 percent and mortgage rates north of 7 percent, which means financial conditions tightened before the Fed did anything at all. The dots are what matter: one hike or the start of a series. Meanwhile the inflation channel is running through diesel rather than crude, with Euro gas oil closing at a record and US diesel above 6.30 a gallon even as Saudi Arabia works around its pipeline damage with ship to ship transfers. And a 5 percent risk free rate starts to separate the AI names that can self finance from the ones that need outside capital, which is why Oracle is worth watching into the decision. #tastylive #fomc #federalreserve #warsh #bondyields #oilprices #diesel #inflation #oracle #stockmarket tastylive is a real financial network, producing hours of live programming every day. Follow along as our experts navigate the markets, provide actionable trading insights, and teach you how to trade. With over 120 original segments, and over 25 personalities, we'll help you take your trading to the next level, whether you are new to trading or a seasoned veteran. tastylive content is created, produced, and provided solely by tastylive, Inc. ("tastylive") and is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not, nor is it intended to be, trading or investment advice or a recommendation that any security, futures contract, digital asset, other product, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any person. Trading securities, futures products, and digital assets involve risk and may result in a loss greater than the original amount invested. Investment information provided may not be appropriate for all investors and is provided without respect to individual investor financial sophistication, financial situation, investing time horizon or risk tolerance. Options, futures, and futures options are not suitable for all investors. Prior to trading securities, options, futures, or futures options, please read all applicable risk disclosures, including, but not limited to, the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options Disclosure and the Futures and Exchange Traded Options Risk Disclosure Statement found at https://tastytrade.com/disclosures/. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance is not presented net of all commissions, fees, and expenses. Multi-leg option strategies incur higher transaction costs than single leg trades as they involve multiple commission charges. Examples provided are for illustrative, informational, and educational purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve. Supporting documentation for any claims, including claims made on behalf of options programs), comparisons, statistics, or other technical data, if applicable, will be supplied upon request. tastylive, through its content, financial programming or otherwise, does not provide investment or financial advice or make investment recommendations. tastylive is not a licensed financial adviser, registered investment adviser, or a registered broker-dealer.