Ray Dalio Says the US Is Going Broke and Named the Exact Playbook

Ray Dalio says the United States is going broke, and he named the exact playbook: print money, devalue the currency, and force interest rates artificially low so bondholders get paid back in dollars worth less, the way he says Japan has done it. Mike Butler runs the math on that thesis, and flags the twist: the 10 year is at a 24 year high and Japan's own 10 year just hit a 30 year high, so the low-rate playbook Dalio points to may be breaking in real time, even as the pressure he describes is real, US debt just passed 40 trillion against a roughly 41 trillion legal limit. 📊 tastylive: https://www.tastylive.com/ 📰 Get Tom's pre-market analysis every morning: https://www.tastylive.com/newsletters 📘 FREE Options Strategy Guide: https://tinyurl.com/bp9ms763 📱 Follow tastylive on X: https://x.com/tastyliveshow Chapters 00:00 Dalio says the US is going broke 00:16 The Japan playbook, in his words 00:32 But Japan just hit a 30 year high 00:45 Debt past 40 trillion, five months of room 01:06 The math on the TLT trade 01:36 TLT's wild yearly chart 02:03 IV rank 90, but low actual vol 02:45 Why the long calls are cheap 03:45 The call skew and the floor 04:33 The probabilities into 2028 05:49 Uncharted territory in bonds #tastylive #mathcheck #raydalio #tlt #bonds #usdebt #japanyields #rates #optionstrading #stockmarket tastylive is a real financial network, producing hours of live programming every day. Follow along as our experts navigate the markets, provide actionable trading insights, and teach you how to trade. With over 120 original segments, and over 25 personalities, we'll help you take your trading to the next level, whether you are new to trading or a seasoned veteran. tastylive content is created, produced, and provided solely by tastylive, Inc. ("tastylive") and is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not, nor is it intended to be, trading or investment advice or a recommendation that any security, futures contract, digital asset, other product, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any person. Trading securities, futures products, and digital assets involve risk and may result in a loss greater than the original amount invested. Investment information provided may not be appropriate for all investors and is provided without respect to individual investor financial sophistication, financial situation, investing time horizon or risk tolerance. Options, futures, and futures options are not suitable for all investors. Prior to trading securities, options, futures, or futures options, please read all applicable risk disclosures, including, but not limited to, the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options Disclosure and the Futures and Exchange Traded Options Risk Disclosure Statement found at https://tastytrade.com/disclosures/. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance is not presented net of all commissions, fees, and expenses. Multi-leg option strategies incur higher transaction costs than single leg trades as they involve multiple commission charges. Examples provided are for illustrative, informational, and educational purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve. Supporting documentation for any claims, including claims made on behalf of options programs), comparisons, statistics, or other technical data, if applicable, will be supplied upon request. tastylive, through its content, financial programming or otherwise, does not provide investment or financial advice or make investment recommendations. tastylive is not a licensed financial adviser, registered investment adviser, or a registered broker-dealer.