Tim Knight Says the Bond Bear Market Is in Year Seven and Far From Over

tastytrade4 hours ago5:44

Tim Knight runs through decades of interest-rate data to show just how dramatic the recent move has been. TLT, the long-bond ETF, peaked in early 2020 when rates were near zero and has been in a grinding bear market ever since, now in its seventh year and recently breaking to multi-year lows. Across every duration the story is the same: the 30 year yield bottomed near 1.2% and is now four to five times higher at a multi-decade high, the 10 year is back to 2007 levels, and even the 2 year, from a low near one tenth of a percent, is roughly 48 times higher. 📊 tastylive: https://www.tastylive.com/ 📰 Get Tom's pre-market analysis every morning: https://www.tastylive.com/newsletters 📘 FREE Options Strategy Guide: https://tinyurl.com/bp9ms763 📱 Follow tastylive on X: https://x.com/tastyliveshow Chapters 00:00 A quick look at interest rates 00:28 TLT and the seven-year bear 01:05 The 30 year yield, 1.2% to a record 01:58 The 10 year back to 2007 levels 02:21 The 2 year, 48 times higher 03:07 How it hits real life 03:36 BBB corporate yields jump 03:54 The 15 year mortgage turns up 04:22 The 30 year mortgage above 7% 05:09 Year seven won't be the last #tastylive #timknight #interestrates #bonds #treasuries #mortgagerates #tlt #risingrates #macro #stockmarket tastylive is a real financial network, producing hours of live programming every day. Follow along as our experts navigate the markets, provide actionable trading insights, and teach you how to trade. With over 120 original segments, and over 25 personalities, we'll help you take your trading to the next level, whether you are new to trading or a seasoned veteran. tastylive content is created, produced, and provided solely by tastylive, Inc. ("tastylive") and is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not, nor is it intended to be, trading or investment advice or a recommendation that any security, futures contract, digital asset, other product, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any person. Trading securities, futures products, and digital assets involve risk and may result in a loss greater than the original amount invested. Investment information provided may not be appropriate for all investors and is provided without respect to individual investor financial sophistication, financial situation, investing time horizon or risk tolerance. Options, futures, and futures options are not suitable for all investors. Prior to trading securities, options, futures, or futures options, please read all applicable risk disclosures, including, but not limited to, the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options Disclosure and the Futures and Exchange Traded Options Risk Disclosure Statement found at https://tastytrade.com/disclosures/. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance is not presented net of all commissions, fees, and expenses. Multi-leg option strategies incur higher transaction costs than single leg trades as they involve multiple commission charges. Examples provided are for illustrative, informational, and educational purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve. Supporting documentation for any claims, including claims made on behalf of options programs), comparisons, statistics, or other technical data, if applicable, will be supplied upon request. tastylive, through its content, financial programming or otherwise, does not provide investment or financial advice or make investment recommendations. tastylive is not a licensed financial adviser, registered investment adviser, or a registered broker-dealer.