Does the Market's Opening Move Actually Hold All Day?

tastytrade3 hours ago8:32

A question every day trader has wondered, answered with 15 years of minute data: does the market's opening move actually hold through the day, or does it reverse? The team defines a large move as a half percent in the first part of the session and tracks where SPX finishes after 30, 60 and 90 minutes, separating large up moves, large down moves and flat sessions. The backdrop is the famous U-shaped intraday volatility curve, most of the action is in the first 90 minutes and the last 30. ๐Ÿ“Š tastylive: https://www.tastylive.com/ ๐Ÿ“ฐ Get Tom's pre-market analysis every morning: https://www.tastylive.com/newsletters ๐Ÿ“˜ FREE Options Strategy Guide: https://tinyurl.com/bp9ms763 ๐Ÿ“ฑ Follow tastylive on X: https://x.com/tastyliveshow Chapters 00:00 Does the opening move hold 00:25 Defining a large move 00:39 The U-shaped volatility curve 01:44 After 30 minutes 03:24 After one hour 05:47 After 90 minutes 06:23 Reversal odds drop to 10% 07:00 Up moves hold better, positive drift 08:00 When the reversals tend to hit 09:16 The takeaways #tastylive #tastyresearch #daytrading #openingrange #intraday #reversaltrade #trendfollowing #spx #optionstrading #stockmarket tastylive is a real financial network, producing hours of live programming every day. Follow along as our experts navigate the markets, provide actionable trading insights, and teach you how to trade. With over 120 original segments, and over 25 personalities, we'll help you take your trading to the next level, whether you are new to trading or a seasoned veteran. tastylive content is created, produced, and provided solely by tastylive, Inc. ("tastylive") and is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not, nor is it intended to be, trading or investment advice or a recommendation that any security, futures contract, digital asset, other product, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any person. Trading securities, futures products, and digital assets involve risk and may result in a loss greater than the original amount invested. Investment information provided may not be appropriate for all investors and is provided without respect to individual investor financial sophistication, financial situation, investing time horizon or risk tolerance. Options, futures, and futures options are not suitable for all investors. Prior to trading securities, options, futures, or futures options, please read all applicable risk disclosures, including, but not limited to, the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options Disclosure and the Futures and Exchange Traded Options Risk Disclosure Statement found at https://tastytrade.com/disclosures/. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance is not presented net of all commissions, fees, and expenses. Multi-leg option strategies incur higher transaction costs than single leg trades as they involve multiple commission charges. Examples provided are for illustrative, informational, and educational purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve. Supporting documentation for any claims, including claims made on behalf of options programs), comparisons, statistics, or other technical data, if applicable, will be supplied upon request. tastylive, through its content, financial programming or otherwise, does not provide investment or financial advice or make investment recommendations. tastylive is not a licensed financial adviser, registered investment adviser, or a registered broker-dealer.

Does the Market's Opening Move Actually Hold All Day? | PiQ Markets