El Niño Leaves Coffee Prices Softer but Robusta Risk Rising

El Niño coffee production risk is uneven, as good weather in Brazil pressures prices while heat and dryness build in key robusta areas. Leonardo Rossetti, StoneX Brazil, Market Intelligence Analyst, explains how El Niño weather is shaping coffee crops across Brazil, Colombia, Central America, Indonesia and Vietnam. Better weather in Brazil has been one of the main factors putting pressure on coffee prices in recent months. In Colombia, production this year through October has run about 10% below last year after heavy rain, while a more concentrated flowering in some areas sets up a possible recovery in the first half of 2027 if dry El Niño weather holds off during fruit development. Hot, dry conditions are a concern in Rondônia, Honduras and Indonesia, and past El Niño years brought some of Vietnam's longest dry spells in November and December. In Brazil, arabica flowering is uneven after very heavy rain, though crops remain in very good condition and robusta fields in Espírito Santo and Bahia are also in good shape. 00:00 - Brazil Rain Weighs on Coffee 01:03 - Rondônia Robusta Feels Heat 01:34 - Colombia's Coffee Comeback 02:45 - Honduras Heat Hits Supply 03:16 - Indonesia Heat, Vietnam Crop 04:24 - Volatility Risk Still in Play Like and subscribe for more financial market insights. #Coffee #StoneX #LeonardoRossetti #ElNino --------- Like this video? Subscribe and turn on notifications so you don't miss any videos from StoneX: https://www.youtube.com/@stonex_official Visit https://www.stonex.com/en/insights/thought-leadership/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=social for insights, perspectives and thought leadership from StoneX's global network of experts. Visit our website: https://www.stonex.com?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=social