How to Catch This A+ ES Short With Two Reports (Inside Bars 83% Stat + Gap Fill 96% Stat) | edgeful

ES opened inside yesterday's New York session range with a tiny 0.2% gap up, and two edgeful reports lined up on the same side: Inside Bars and Gap Fill. Here's how that combination pointed to a short bias before the move. In this video I walk through the exact reports I checked on ES over the last 6 months. The Inside Bars report shows that when price opens inside the prior New York session range (9:30 to 4pm), it breaks out of that range 83% of the time. So either the previous day's high or the previous day's low is very likely to get taken out. The question is which one. To answer that, I went to the Gap Fill report and filtered by size. Gap ups between 0% and 0.2% have filled 96% of the time over the same window, and today's gap was 0.2%. Think of the gap fill level as a magnet. It sat right above the previous day's low, so the gap fill became the first target and the previous day's low the second. Both were close together and both were below price, which makes for a much stronger draw. I also show how quickly the fill rate drops as gaps get bigger (1%+ gaps rarely fill), which is why the size filter matters. Levels on the chart come from the Market Sessions and Ultimate Reversal Setup indicators. chapters: 0:00 the A+ ES short setup 0:10 opening inside the prior NY range 0:33 inside bars report: 83% breakout rate 1:53 picking a direction with confluence 2:16 what a gap fill is 2:57 gap fill by size: 96% fill rate 3:45 stacked targets + why bigger gaps fill less 4:24 recap: inside bars + gap fill have questions? email [email protected] get started: https://www.edgeful.com/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=organic&utm_campaign=2026 Disclosure: Trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. this information is not trading advice and should be used for educational purposes only. futures, options, and forex are leveraged instruments, and carry a high degree of risk. past results are not indicative of future returns. your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness, and usefulness of the information. futures and forex trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. an investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardising ones' financial security or life style. only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.