Key facts
- The White House is downplaying the economic impact of the conflict with Iran.
- Brent crude is near $100 per barrel, and gasoline averages $4.10 per gallon.
- The conflict has exceeded President Trump's initial timeline.
The White House maintains a confident outlook on the US economy, despite the ongoing conflict with Iran driving up oil prices and inflation. Analysts warn of slower growth and higher unemployment.

The White House's economic outlook faces challenges from sustained high energy prices and inflation, potentially impacting the upcoming midterm elections and overall economic growth.
The White House is projecting optimism about the US economy, even as the conflict with Iran continues to pressure energy prices and inflation. The war has extended beyond President Trump's initial timeline, leading to sustained energy costs. Brent crude has hovered around $100 per barrel, and national average gasoline prices have climbed to approximately $4.10 per gallon. This surge in energy costs threatens to increase airfares, grocery prices, and overall expenses for various sectors. However, President Trump and his advisors have projected optimism, with the President stating that oil prices are decreasing and suggesting a deal with Iran is likely. Economists express concern that the ongoing uncertainty could impede US growth and exacerbate inflation. Analysts at Goldman Sachs have revised their forecasts, predicting slower economic expansion and a higher inflation rate, with the unemployment rate potentially rising to 4.6% this year. The trajectory of the US economy is seen as hinging on a resolution to the standoff between Washington and Tehran.