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US Construction Spending Falls to Near Three-Year Low in July

Created at 1 Sep · 3:11 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

U.S. construction spending unexpectedly declined in July, reaching its lowest point in nearly three years. Higher mortgage rates significantly impacted single-family homebuilding, while private nonresidential construction saw a slight increase.

Key Numbers

0.5%July construction spending decline
$2.158 trillionJuly construction spending level
October 2023Previous lowest spending level
3.8%Year-over-year construction spending drop
1.3%Residential construction investment decline
3.2%Single-family housing project spending drop
6.5%Year-over-year single-family housing drop
0.2%Multi-family housing unit spending increase
0.4%Private nonresidential construction increase
0.8%Factory project spending drop
21.7%Year-over-year factory project spending drop
0.2%Public construction projects spending decline
6.66%Average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage
70 basis pointsMortgage rate surge since late February

Who's Involved

Commerce Department's Census Bureau
reported U.S. construction spending data
Freddie Mac
data provider for mortgage rates
Reuters
polled economists for forecasts

↳ Why This Matters

The decline in construction spending, particularly in residential projects, signals a potential slowdown in economic activity and highlights the persistent impact of high interest rates on key sectors like housing and manufacturing.

Key facts

  • U.S. construction spending fell 0.5% in July to $2.158 trillion.
  • This marks the lowest level since October 2023.
  • Residential construction investment dropped 1.3%, driven by a 3.2% decrease in single-family housing projects.
  • Private nonresidential construction saw a 0.4% increase, while public construction spending declined 0.2%.
  • The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is near a one-year high of 6.66%.

U.S. construction spending unexpectedly decreased in July, reaching its lowest level in nearly three years, primarily due to the impact of elevated mortgage rates on single-family homebuilding. The Commerce Department's Census Bureau reported that construction spending fell 0.5% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $2.158 trillion, the lowest since October 2023. This decline surpassed economists' expectations, who had forecast no change in spending.

Spending on private construction projects contracted by 0.5% in July, with residential construction seeing a significant drop of 1.3%. Investment in single-family housing projects plummeted by 3.2%, contributing to a 6.5% year-over-year decrease in this segment. The housing market is further pressured by an excess of unsold homes and mortgage rates hovering near a one-year high of 6.66% for the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage.

Conversely, spending on multi-family housing units saw a modest increase of 0.2%. Investment in private nonresidential structures, such as power plants and factories, rose by 0.4%. However, outlays on factory projects declined 0.8% in July and a substantial 21.7% year-over-year, indicating fading momentum from the 2022 CHIPS and Science Act, which has not been fully offset by artificial intelligence buildouts. Nonresidential structures have now contracted for ten consecutive quarters.

Public construction projects experienced a 0.2% decrease in July. While state and local government construction spending remained unchanged, federal government project outlays declined by 3.5%.

Frequently asked questions

U.S. construction spending unexpectedly fell by 0.5% in July, reaching its lowest level since October 2023.

Higher mortgage rates significantly impacted single-family homebuilding, and there is a glut of unsold single-family houses. The boost from the CHIPS and Science Act for factory projects is also fading.

Residential construction investment tumbled 1.3%, with single-family housing projects dropping 3.2%. In contrast, private nonresidential construction investment increased by 0.4%.

What Happens Next

01Monitor future construction spending data for signs of recovery or further contraction.
02Observe the impact of mortgage rates on housing market activity in upcoming reports.

How It Developed

U.S. construction spending dropped 0.5% in July.
The July spending level was the lowest since October 2023.
June's construction spending was revised to unchanged from a prior 0.1% dip.
Residential construction investment tumbled 1.3%, with single-family housing projects dropping 3.2%.
Multi-family housing unit spending rose 0.2%.
Private nonresidential construction investment increased 0.4%.
Public construction projects spending fell 0.2%.

Sources

T1
US construction spending drops to nearly three-year low in JulyReuters

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