A former aide to Donald Trump, Gabriel Perez, was reportedly fired after allegedly betting on specific words to be mentioned during Trump's speeches using a prediction market platform. The CFTC investigated the activity, but federal prosecutors declined to pursue criminal charges.

The incident raises questions about the integrity of political events and the potential for misuse of prediction markets, even as federal prosecutors declined to pursue criminal charges.
Gabriel Perez, an aide to Donald Trump, reportedly made approximately $100,000 by betting on specific words that would be mentioned during Trump's speeches, according to sources speaking to NPR and ABC. Perez allegedly used a prediction market platform called Kalshi, where users can invest in contracts based on future events, such as specific words being spoken. His 'forecasting' reportedly occurred over several months at the end of last year and the beginning of this year. Sources indicated that Perez sometimes adjusted his bets mid-speech if Trump skipped over a word he had wagered on. Kalshi flagged Perez's activity as unusual, investigated, and froze his funds. The platform then reported the information to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). While the CFTC investigated and was reportedly in settlement talks with Perez, federal prosecutors in Manhattan declined to open a criminal investigation. The White House confirmed that Perez will no longer be working there.
Pick the topics you care about. Get only what matters, on your cadence.