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Pakistan Rejects High LNG Price, Risks Deeper Blackouts

Created at 2 Sep · 8:56 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Pakistan faces potential extended blackouts after rejecting a costly LNG cargo priced at $26.97 per MMBtu, significantly above current market rates and previous purchases. The country has issued a new tender amid disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz impacting supply from Qatar.

Key Numbers

$26.97per MMBtu for rejected LNG cargo
$23.18per MMBtu for international LNG price
38%increase in Pakistan power generation costs in July
140,000cu m of natural gas sought in new tender
24 hourspotential blackout duration in Karachi
12 hourspotential blackout duration in other parts of Karachi

Who's Involved

Pakistan LNG Limited
company that rejected the LNG cargo offer
BP
offered the rejected LNG cargo
QatarEnergy
main seller of LNG to Pakistan
Pakistan Rejects High LNG Price, Risks Deeper Blackouts

↳ Why This Matters

Pakistan's rejection of a high-priced LNG cargo highlights the country's struggle to secure affordable energy amid global supply disruptions and rising prices, potentially leading to prolonged power outages that will impact its economy and population.

Key facts

  • Pakistan rejected an LNG cargo offer from BP priced at $26.97 per MMBtu.
  • The rejected price was significantly higher than the international LNG market rate of approximately $23.18 per MMBtu.
  • Pakistan's power generation costs increased by 38% in July due to high LNG prices.
  • Supply disruptions from Qatar, linked to the Strait of Hormuz blockade, have impacted Pakistan.
  • The country is facing potential extended rolling blackouts.

Pakistan is at risk of extending rolling blackouts after rejecting a liquefied natural gas (LNG) cargo offered by BP at a price of $26.97 per million British thermal units (MMBtu). This price was deemed too high, especially compared to the international LNG price of around $23.18 per MMBtu and previous purchases made by Pakistan.

The country has issued a new tender seeking 140,000 cubic meters of natural gas. The rejected offer from BP was significantly higher than the $20.70 per MMBtu Pakistan paid for an emergency cargo in July, which was itself a record high for the country since 2022.

These high spot market prices and supply issues have contributed to a 38% surge in Pakistan's power generation costs in July. The situation has been exacerbated by the non-arrival of an expected cargo from Qatar, which has extended force majeure on its LNG exports due to the ongoing blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical shipping route.

The disruption in the Strait of Hormuz has forced Pakistan to implement rolling blackouts, with some areas experiencing up to 24 hours without power.

Frequently asked questions

Pakistan rejected the LNG cargo because the offered price of $26.97 per MMBtu was considered too high, significantly exceeding the international market rate and previous purchase prices.

The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has disrupted LNG supply from Qatar, a key seller to Pakistan, forcing the country to rely more on expensive spot markets and leading to rolling blackouts.

The surge in LNG prices and reliance on the spot market caused Pakistan's power generation costs to jump by 38% in July compared to the previous year.

What Happens Next

01Pakistan will issue a new tender for LNG today.
02The country may have to extend rolling blackouts.
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How It Developed

Pakistan rejected a single LNG cargo offer from BP priced at $26.97 per MMBtu.
The rejected price was considered too high compared to international LNG prices around $23.18 per MMBtu.
Pakistan paid higher prices for emergency LNG cargoes in July and August.
Power generation costs in Pakistan surged 38% in July due to LNG price jumps and spot market reliance.
A previously expected cargo from Qatar never arrived due to force majeure.
Qatar extended force majeure on LNG exports due to the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.
Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz have led to rolling blackouts in Pakistan.
Pakistan issued a new tender seeking 140,000 cu m of natural gas.

Sources

T1
Pakistan Rejects Costly LNG Cargo as Blackout Risk DeepensOilPrice.com

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